January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

John · Post by **John** » Sat Jan 09, 2021 7:36 am

PortKells wrote: ↑Fri Jan 08, 2021 11:13 pm Don't let John jinx it. These trends only started almost to the day he cancelled winter.

Be nice please

John · Post by **John** » Sat Jan 09, 2021 7:37 am

PortKells wrote: ↑Fri Jan 08, 2021 11:17 pm Since the 1940's? or 50's?

Be nice please and respect please

PortKells · Post by **PortKells** » Sat Jan 09, 2021 8:08 am

Just ribbing you john. I think you're great. And I like your predictions. But I think you got it wrong, winter is coming and soon.

Hawk · Post by **Hawk** » Sat Jan 09, 2021 8:12 am

Model Riders rejoice. There is a chance for winter to start before February?

Hawk · Post by **Hawk** » Sat Jan 09, 2021 8:16 am

Nito..what do you see for the 10-15 days ahead?

PortKells · Post by **PortKells** » Sat Jan 09, 2021 8:29 am

The 12Z already looks better than the 6Z which looked better than the 00z. Cold i further west.

moonshadow0825 · Post by **moonshadow0825** » Sat Jan 09, 2021 8:32 am

woke up to a pretty thick fog in Ladner, could barely see the trees the next street over. thinning a bit now, hopefully will be gone soon. I find continuous fog the hardest to take of all the types of weather we get

John · Post by **John** » Sat Jan 09, 2021 8:45 am

PortKells wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 8:29 am The 12Z already looks better than the 6Z which looked better than the 00z. Cold i further west.

Hmmm

John · Post by **John** » Sat Jan 09, 2021 8:45 am

Hawk wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 8:12 am Model Riders rejoice. There is a chance for winter to start before February?

Doubt it

John · Post by **John** » Sat Jan 09, 2021 8:46 am

PortKells wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 8:08 am Just ribbing you john. I think you're great. And I like your predictions. But I think you got it wrong, winter is coming and soon.

When you think

PortKells · Post by **PortKells** » Sat Jan 09, 2021 8:54 am

John wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 8:46 amWhen you think

Im going to guess the 25th. Give or take a couple days.

Edit: GFS is taking a couple days. Wrap around snow on the 23rd with arctic air hanging around close by.

PortKells · Post by **PortKells** » Sat Jan 09, 2021 9:12 am

Hawk wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 8:12 am Model Riders rejoice. There is a chance for winter to start before February?

A greater than 50%.

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John · Post by **John** » Sat Jan 09, 2021 9:15 am

Only 16 days away

PortKells · Post by **PortKells** » Sat Jan 09, 2021 9:23 am

John wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 9:15 am Only 16 days away

Ok but hereÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s the thing. It has to be 16 days away at some point. ItÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s not just going to pop up on the models that an arctic blast is going to smoke us tomorrow. And secondly, the 23rd is only 14 days away. And thirdly, when did you get so negative about it? I remember you were guaranteeing winter when the models were showing zip inside of 1000 hours.
I honestly get it though, this PNW climate is a real B and it seems to rain 8 days a week. In a few days we will be talking about 10 days away and it becomes a little more believable.

PortKells · Post by **PortKells** » Sat Jan 09, 2021 9:35 am

This is model porn. Yikes

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January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

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