January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Monty
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Jan 06, 2021 3:19 pm Can we get a thunderstorm soon?
Thunderstorms are far more rare than snowstorms over here.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: Wed Jan 06, 2021 4:50 pm It maintains the same general idea.

1.png
I wouldn’t want the ridge axis much farther west than that anyway
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Jan 06, 2021 6:39 pm Edit: Just got back from the American forums. Winter back on. :D :clap:
Fear mongering Jr. :lol: there's talk of storming the NWS office in Seattle. :wtf:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: Wed Jan 06, 2021 6:44 pm There is not a shred of support for +PNA. cmon people.
I know I was just joking around. Its fun. Now I know why Nito likes it so much. :lol:

I don't know where anybody is getting the idea of a +PNA. There must be enough ensembles members showing a -PNA given the mean has consistently shown solid NP/GOA blocking.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Jan 06, 2021 7:03 pm I know I was just joking around. Its fun. Now I know why Nito likes it so much. :lol:

I don't know where anybody is getting the idea of a +PNA. There must be enough ensembles members showing a -PNA given the mean has consistently shown solid NP/GOA blocking.
Do l leave my snow tires on?
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Jan 06, 2021 7:03 pm I know I was just joking around. Its fun. Now I know why Nito likes it so much. :lol:

I don't know where anybody is getting the idea of a +PNA. There must be enough ensembles members showing a -PNA given the mean has consistently shown solid NP/GOA blocking.
Just to clarify I was referring to that Twitter guy. He must be blind because PNA is tanking on all ensembles. Please have all the fun you want :thumbup:
Last edited by PortKells on Wed Jan 06, 2021 8:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: Wed Jan 06, 2021 7:19 pm Just to clarify I was referring to that Twitter idiot. He must be blind because PNA is tanking on all ensembles. Please have all the fun you want :thumbup:
I wouldn't call him an idiot. Its not respectful to name call. However, I do agree with you that its rather strange that anyone would suggest ensemble support for a +PNA in the long range. :thumbup:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Cypress today
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Cypress today

Absolutely stunning shots Ty my man. :thumbup:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Jan 06, 2021 8:00 pm I wouldn't call him an idiot. Its not respectful to name call. However, I do agree with you that its rather strange that anyone would suggest ensemble support for a +PNA in the long range. :thumbup:
I'll delete that. I'm just tired of seeing some people play with other people's emotions when what it is, is essentially misinformation. I'm as amateur as it gets and even I can see he's trying to mess with people.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

TY, how deep did the base of Cypress snowpack look to you approximately?
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

:think:
3AA1CFA3-CF02-4271-8EF9-402EB229836D.jpeg
2CE79A77-ABDE-4B23-8C72-F684A15E0382.jpeg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Pretty good at the ski area base elevation. The wall of snow driving in at one point is higher than the car for sure. The only spot where the snow was thin was on Benny's run, which is typical. Looking at some Creek openings near the bottom it looked like at least 1.5 m base.
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: Wed Jan 06, 2021 8:38 pm I'll delete that. I'm just tired of seeing some people play with other people's emotions when what it is, is essentially misinformation. I'm as amateur as it gets and even I can see he's trying to mess with people.
I'll delete that.
I appreciate that. I hope it didn't come across preachy. I just don't think we should be name calling. :thumbup:
I'm just tired of seeing some people play with other people's emotions when what it is, is essentially misinformation. I'm as amateur as it gets and even I can see he's trying to mess with people.
It is perplexing that anybody would suggest that there is ensemble support for a +PNA in the long range. I mean look at the ensembles. Where is it?
ecmwf-ensemble-nhem-avg-pna-box-9934400.png
gfs-ensemble-all-avg-pna-box-9956000.png
gfs-ensemble-extended-all-avg-pna-box-9891200.png
cmc-ensemble-all-avg-pna-box-9934400.png
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Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Wed Jan 06, 2021 8:56 pm :think:

3AA1CFA3-CF02-4271-8EF9-402EB229836D.jpeg
2CE79A77-ABDE-4B23-8C72-F684A15E0382.jpeg
+EPO and +PNA. Beauty isnt it? We could see some very warm weather if that ridge pivots a bit further east.
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