January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[SouthSardiswx]

1950... dang... what a year.

Yup definitely would freeze your dangs off.

[Hound]

Today's wind storm was mostly a huge bust everywhere.

[SouthSardiswx]

Today's wind storm was mostly a huge bust everywhere.

Calm in Chilliwack didn't really know until l saw the news tonight.

[AbbyJr]

Extreme cold and snow go hand in hand in our region though. Without major cold, it's extremely rare to score extreme snow.

I'm struggling to think of any regionwide extreme snowfalls (30-40+cm in one day or 50-60+cm in two/three days) without extreme cold already in place, or pushing into the region.

I got 45cm in a few days during the February 2017 storm with temperatures just slightly below zero.

[Hound]

https://twitter.com/joejoezz/status/1346506798786699265

[Typeing3]

I got 45cm in a few days during the February 2017 storm with temperatures just slightly below zero.

The extreme snowfall with that event was primarily focused in the valley. YXX got 45cm in three days, but totals were much less most other areas across the south coast.

I was referring to regionwide snowstorms, as in impacting metro vancouver, fraser valley, sunshine coast and south/east vancouver island.

[Roberts Creeker]

Today's wind storm was mostly a huge bust everywhere.

It has been and still is pretty windy here. Not sure of speeds but it's moved a lot of items around outside and BC Hydro outage map is showing a lot of red.

[Hawk]

Extreme cold has occurred in Feb before. If the criteria for extreme cold is a high/low below -4c/-10c in Vancouver, we get this list...

Feb 3, 1899 -4.4c/-11.1c
Feb 4, 1899 -5.6c/-10.0c
Feb 13, 1923 -7.2c/-12.2c
Feb 9, 1933 -4.4c/-11.7c
Feb 7, 1936 -4.4c/-13.3c
Feb 1, 1950 -5.0c/-16.1c
Feb 15, 1956 -5.0c/-13.3c
Feb 2, 1989 -7.0c/-11.2c

Yes of course it CAN happen, but once in the last 70 years..i dont like our chances..esp in todays warmer climate

[AbbyJr]

Even better.

gfs-ensemble-extended-all-c00-nhemi-z500_anom_7day-2656000.png

gfs-ensemble-extended-all-c00-nhemi-t2m_c_anom_7day-2656000.png

[AbbyJr]

The extreme snowfall with that event was primarily focused in the valley. YXX got 45cm in three days, but totals were much less most other areas across the south coast.

I was referring to regionwide snowstorms, as in impacting metro vancouver, fraser valley, sunshine coast and south/east vancouver island.

I seem to recall you got at least 30cm from that event too right?

[Hawk]

Im not writing off winter around Metro Vanc yet, but with the models looking bleak and weak into at least mid Jan, time is running out buttees. Strangley, havent heard from Nito much..and he mentions snow this time..hmmmm. Perhaps a harbinger of a changes in the future Nito..the great prognosticator of winter 2020/2021

[Typeing3]

I seem to recall you got at least 30cm from that event too right?

Yeah, I think I received about 40-45cm from the 3rd through the 8th. Snow depth peaked around 30cm.

[AbbyJr]

Yeah, I think I received about 40-45cm from the 3rd through the 8th. Snow depth peaked around 30cm.

Yeah I got a bit more than you then. My snow depth peaked at 45cm.

[Abby_wx]

Yeah I got a bit more than you then. My snow depth peaked at 45cm.

I peaked at 35 cm, depth, but I had problems with the wind blowing the snow around.

[SouthSardiswx]

Even better.

gfs-ensemble-extended-all-c00-nhemi-z500_anom_7day-2656000.png

gfs-ensemble-extended-all-c00-nhemi-t2m_c_anom_7day-2656000.png

Ah Jr. that's weeks away and we'll all be blind by then.