December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hawk
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

EC says no way Nito. I'm going with EC on this one. Southerlies will briefly raise snow levels..at times struggling to even do so. Bommy temps no more :shh:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Dec 26, 2020 8:56 am Freezing levels dip to the surface, but no moisture. Most systems coming in bring a southerly wind ahead of it bringing mild air below 1000m with precip.

We are waiting till mid Jan at this point.
Actually…
WAZ567-270000-
Cascades of Whatcom and Skagit Counties-
Including the cities of Marblemount and Concrete
809 AM PST Sat Dec 26 2020

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TODAY...Rain and snow. Snow level near 3000 feet. Snow
may be heavy at times. Rainfall amounts a half inch to one inch
possible. New snow accumulation of 2 to 7 inches.
.TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow in the
evening, then a slight chance of rain and snow after midnight.
Snow level near 2500 feet.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. A slight chance of rain and snow in the
morning. Snow level near 3000 feet. Freezing level near 4000 feet
in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy in the evening then becoming partly
cloudy. Freezing level near 3500 feet decreasing to 2500 feet
after midnight.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Freezing level near 2500 feet increasing
to 4000 feet in the afternoon.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Freezing level near 1500 feet.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Freezing level near 2000 feet.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain and snow
in the evening, then a chance of rain and snow after midnight.
Snow level near 1000 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain and snow likely in the morning, then rain and
snow in the afternoon. Snow level near 2000 feet.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Rain and snow in the evening, then rain and
snow likely after midnight. Snow level near 2500 feet.
.THURSDAY...Rain and snow likely in the morning, then mostly
cloudy with a chance of rain and snow in the afternoon. Snow
level near 3000 feet.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow.
Snow level near 3000 feet.
.NEW YEARS DAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow.
Snow level near 3000 feet.

&&
TEMPERATURE / PRECIPITATION

Mount Baker 33 28 34 / 100 60 20
Doesn’t exactly look like a disaster for the ski areas to me.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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wetcoast91
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

:shrug:

EC Wednesday Night: Periods of rain or snow. Low zero.

Image

16 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:
Good lord the models are in the wilderness right now. We can write off the first half of January at this point.

MR.SNOWMIZER said:
We will be chasing our tale like every year and then its March.

Wetcoast91 said:
NOCTURNAL SLUSH AND QUICK MELTING SNOW, CMON!!!!
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Dec 26, 2020 9:08 am :shrug:

EC Wednesday Night: Periods of rain or snow. Low zero.

Image

16 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:
Good lord the models are in the wilderness right now. We can write off the first half of January at this point.

MR.SNOWMIZER said:
We will be chasing our tale like every year and then its March.

Wetcoast91 said:
NOCTURNAL SLUSH AND QUICK MELTING SNOW, CMON!!!!
I'm close to jumping aboard #teamridge now. My ski season is likely over, don't care for this active and wet anymore. This mudhole I live in needs to dry up. We all know we're going to get some goodies just as spring is on the horizon. The SSW...we'll see.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

LaNina they said..will be colder and snowier they said. Soon it will come they said, with carrots always only 10 days away!! :lol: :lol: :lol:

Past 5 days anything can happen. Case in point..that freak snow from a few days ago was nowhere to be seen past 5 or 6 days out and looked hopeless to even fall as snow.

LaNina is paying big dividends in the Similkaeem however, where is has def been way snowier than normal :thumbup:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Hawk wrote: Sat Dec 26, 2020 9:51 am LaNina they said..will be colder and snowier they said. Soon it will come they said, with carrots always only 10 days away!! :lol: :lol: :lol:

Past 5 days anything can happen. Case in point..that freak snow from a few days ago was nowhere to be seen past 5 or 6 days out and looked hopeless to even fall as snow.

LaNina is paying big dividends in the Similkaeem however, where is has def been way snowier than normal :thumbup:
La Nina is just a seat at the table. Doesn't mean we actually get our dinner :lol:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Quick, someone post this on the american forum!

Constable Jesse will be on it shortly. :lol:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Dec 26, 2020 10:23 am Quick, someone post this on the american forum!

Constable Jesse will be on it shortly. :lol:
That guy man. Someone said they were leaving the forum for non forum related reasons and he just threw all kinds of shade at him. Sometimes Americans are just more blunt i guess but this guy is too much.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

ECMWF trending with the GFS. Less splitty with a consolidated stormtrack further north. Persistent SW flow with non stop light rain and drizzle. Bad news for Cypress as it brings more rain up there than previous runs but the higher hills along with Whistler Blackcomb and Mount Washington look to get buried.

Image
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Dec 26, 2020 10:42 am ECMWF trending with the GFS. Less splitty with a consolidated stormtrack further north. Persistent SW flow with non stop light rain and drizzle. Bad news for Cypress as it brings more rain up there than previous runs but the higher hills along with Whistler Blackcomb and Mount Washington look to get buried.

Image
Dont worry. They'll still have lineups down to the lions gate Bridge at the first sign of slush.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

You know, for a 2014/15 redux, this sure doesn't look right.
ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nhemi-t850_anom_stream-9826400.png
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: Sat Dec 26, 2020 1:09 pm You know, for a 2014/15 redux, this sure doesn't look right.
ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nhemi-t850_anom_stream-9826400.png
Looks more 1999-2000ish to me.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

So disregard the flurries in the forecast for the valley next week?
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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