December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

[SouthSardiswx]

This may be the first month where I have not seen the GFS or ECMWF advertise a clown range arctic blast on 00z or 12z runs.

Just goes to show how far modelling has come.

Or how our climate has indeed warmed. Or it just sucks like 2020 did.

[SouthSardiswx]

Merry Christmas everyone!

Hope your dog gets better fast, PortKells.


It's a White Christmas here with 10 cm still on the ground.



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Wow surprised you have that much left Abby Sr. we probably have 12cm left in south Sardis. Definitely melting under way at least it froze up for 3 day's.

[SouthSardiswx]

So what's the chance of seeing snowflakes later this week like the forecast is showing for the valley?

[East Chilliwack]

So what's the chance of seeing snowflakes later this week like the forecast is showing for the valley?

Nito says all maps showing warming and no snow next week
‍♂️

[AbbyJr]

This may be the first month where I have not seen the GFS or ECMWF advertise a clown range arctic blast on 00z or 12z runs.

Just goes to show how far modelling has come.

I agree.

I think it really has to with the advancement in modelling. The clown range runs rarely if ever verified. Therefore, it was obviously errors in the long range. However, as modelling technology has improved and resolution has increased, we are able to look further into the future with better accuracy.

That said, I do miss seeing some of those clown range arctic blasts. Its still nice to be entertained sometimes.

[AbbyJr]

Nito says all maps showing warming and no snow next week
‍♂️

I never bought into the idea of more snow next week to begin with. I did not see any signals in the models to suggest it.

Mid-late January is when I expect to see solid chance of arctic air and snow.

[Storm]

Nito says all maps showing warming and no snow next week
‍♂️

Sure, if he say so.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_19.png

[SouthSardiswx]

I agree.

I think it really has to with the advancement in modelling. The clown range runs rarely if ever verified. Therefore, it was obviously errors in the long range. However, as modelling technology has improved and resolution has increased, we are able to look further into the future with better accuracy.

That said, I do miss seeing some of those clown range arctic blasts. Its still nice to be entertained sometimes.

But they can make you go blind Jr.

[SouthSardiswx]

Sure, if he say so.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_19.png

Stormer to the rescue. l think Nito is just giving us coal for Christmas.

[Typeing3]

So what's the chance of seeing snowflakes later this week like the forecast is showing for the valley?

Offshore flow returns Monday. Valley could see some snow/ice on Wednesday.

[Hound]

I never bought into the idea of more snow next week to begin with. I did not see any signals in the models to suggest it.

WeatherPro disagrees! lol.

[Abby_wx]

Currently 5.8C here, breezy and melty.

Data problems continue at YXX... temp and snowfall is showing up as missing for the 21st and 22nd. They are showing a low of -6.2C for the 24th which seems pretty suspect, and strangely a high of exactly 1.8C on both the 23rd and 24th. I don't really trust anything here, except for maybe the snow depth which they're showing as 10 cm as of yesterday.

yxx_data_issues.PNG

[SouthSardiswx]

Currently 5.8C here, breezy and melty.

Data problems continue at YXX... temp and snowfall is showing up as missing for the 21st and 22nd. They are showing a low of -6.2C for the 24th which seems pretty suspect, and strangely a high of exactly 1.8C on both the 23rd and 24th. I don't really trust anything here, except for maybe the snow depth which they're showing as 10 cm as of yesterday.


yxx_data_issues.PNG

That's just insanely terrible as far as data goes.

[SouthSardiswx]

Unscientific poll how many members are spending this Christmas by themselves? due to Covid restrictions.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

High today was 4ËšC. Now 2.8ËšC and falling.

Nito, what happened to that 8ËšC high?