December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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AbbyJr
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Monty wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 8:38 pm 4 days out is a bit early to be in the sweet spot. 48hrs or less is what you want. Then you still get to agonize every 6 hrs as the new models come out. Weather is fun.
Good point.

Just looked at the meteogram. The GFS shows 43.4 cm of snow for Abbotsford Monday with temperatures remaining near or slightly above 0C through Christmas. Nice try. :lol: :clap:

Edit: Just looked at the GEM and the pattern is almost identical. Only difference is the low tracks slightly further north giving us mild rain instead of heavy snow like the GFS shows. :think: :think: :think:
Last edited by AbbyJr on Thu Dec 17, 2020 9:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

"The cold pool sets up just before Christmas Eve, strong east winds, jet suppressed, low comes in from the southwest. BOOK IT! MBG"

THINK DAMAGING WINDS, JOHNS ROOF BEING BLOWN TO MONTY, POWER OUTAGES AND AN AWFUL CHRISTMAS CMONNNNNNN!
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 9:15 pm "The cold pool sets up just before Christmas Eve, strong east winds, jet suppressed, low comes in from the southwest. BOOK IT! MBG"

THINK DAMAGING WINDS, JOHNS ROOF BEING BLOWN TO MONTY, POWER OUTAGES AND AN AWFUL CHRISTMAS CMONNNNNNN!
Massive Blizzard?
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Extended GFS is a mess.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Hound wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 8:25 pm Even in Japan, where it is typically warmer than her e is getting snowed in. We just suck...
https://twitter.com/NHKWORLD_News/statu ... 9029316609
Hokkaido is a snowy place normally:

As Japan's coldest region, Hokkaido has relatively cool summers and icy/snowy winters. Most of the island falls in the humid continental climate zone with Köppen climate classification Dfb (hemiboreal) in most areas but Dfa (hot summer humid continental) in some inland lowlands. The average August temperature ranges from 17 to 22 °C (62.6 to 71.6 °F), while the average January temperature ranges from −12 to −4 °C (10.4 to 24.8 °F), in both cases depending on elevation and distance from the ocean, though temperatures on the western side of the island tend to be a little warmer than on the eastern. The highest temperature ever recorded is 39.5 °C (103.1 °F) on 26 May 2019.[30]

The northern portion of Hokkaido falls into the taiga biome[31] with significant snowfall. Snowfall varies widely from as much as 11 metres (400 in) on the mountains adjacent to the Sea of Japan down to around 1.8 metres (71 in) on the Pacific coast.
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 9:20 pm Extended GFS is a mess.
El Nino winter.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Ukmet is a milder version of the GFS. Similar track though
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

The meltdown has begun down south.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Storm wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 9:46 pm The meltdown has begun down south.
The Hourly? Daily? Weekly?

:lol:
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 8:18 pm Reminds me a lot of the December 19/2017 setup
That's what I was thinking too.

Was pretty disappointing initially over much of Metro Vancouver during the day. I recall another low that formed over the georgia straight in the wake of that system that dropped 5-10cm in just couple hours.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Winter 2021/2022!

C’MON!!!
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthHillFrosty »

Storm wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 9:46 pm The meltdown has begun down south.
Just wait. Heads will begin to roll if nothing shows up in January.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Monty wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 9:35 pm Ukmet is a milder version of the GFS. Similar track though
0.3 inches! Nearly a whole cm! Woot!
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 9:28 pm El Nino winter.
Have you ever considered duct taping your fingers together, so typing is impossible?
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Michael1 wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:25 pm Have you ever considered duct taping your fingers together, so typing is impossible?
🤣Gold!
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