December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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wetcoast91
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Monty wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 2:02 pm 18z gfs looks like a no go on the snow potential next week. Icon still too far north with the low crossing Vancouver island. Let’s split the difference! C’mon.
The moment I saw that energy with the trough splitting....the moment I knew that system would probably hit Eugene.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Monty wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 1:03 pm Even sensored swearing 🤬. Alright. I don’t mind toning it down if it’s offensive to someone. My 3 year old dropped the F bomb the other day. It was used properly in a sentence at least. She probably picked it up from my wife and not me.
I've taken some heat even for an intentionally misspelled version of something. I've always thought that without censorship these words would lose their impact. Although to be fair I learned from a lifetime in in hockey dressing rooms so my casual swearing is probably way too frequent.
Thats crazy about your 3 year old though! Even i wasn't swearing yet at that age. :o I'm sure she'll learn in time :thumbup:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 2:51 pm I know models don't look great as of yet for us but one promising thing is the persistent -NAO. If we can keep that up and get the PNA to go negative, then we will be in business. Having the EPO drop negative would be even better. -PNA/-EPO/-NAO would be awesome.

Hope for the best but expect the worse in our climate. :lol: :thumbup:
That is all we can do Jr.

And as long as we have a bit of fun along the way then its all good.

:thumbup:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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wetcoast91
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 3:22 pm That is all we can do Jr.

And as long as we have a bit of fun along the way then its all good.

:thumbup:
Any day is a good day if you are able to see weather above ground.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Catnip wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 3:22 pm That is all we can do Jr.

And as long as we have a bit of fun along the way then its all good.

:thumbup:
Thats my concern with the American forums. Do they even have fun? For at least some, it seems to be a stressful hobby that they get far too emotionally invested into. Sports fans can fall into that as well. Its about balance. Having fun but not allowing an unwanted outcome to put you into a depressive episode. :thumbup:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Monty wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 12:36 pm Motherfu**er. Who do we have to kill to get some damn arctic air around here
Hawk's Old Buttee.... that's who.
Heat.gif
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

18z RGEM won't be liked down south.
rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_84.png
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

Storm wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 4:33 pm 18z RGEM won't be liked down south.
rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_84.png
That's Sunday overnight though. Not when anyone was expecting snow.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

gfs_T850_nwus_15.png
Esquimalt39 wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 4:42 pm That's Sunday overnight though. Not when anyone was expecting snow.
I know but the system is way North of the 18z GFS
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Wind warning for the Sunshine Coast
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 4:45 pm gfs_T850_nwus_15.png

I know but the system is way North of the 18z GFS
Team Warm Rain! Screw you Rob!!!!
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 5:03 pm Team Warm Rain! Screw you Rob!!!!
Screw Andrew. They should EXTRAPOLATE that run. :wave:
Last edited by Storm on Thu Dec 17, 2020 5:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 5:03 pm Team Warm Rain! Screw you Rob!!!!
Definitely a team with an impressive record of wins.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Rob: "18z OP. One word, "Anafront", but they are very tricky to forecast where the exact narrow corridor(usually) of moisture sets up, does temps aloft cool enough? do the gradients turn flat which is needed or perhaps light easterly/northerly, and are precip rates heavy and steady enough to progressively draw the snow level towards the surface. No idea. Stay tuned. Probably not. No. Stay tuned."

ANUSFRONT? Sounds like the northern side could see a sloppy mix and get dumped on.

STAY TUNED. CMON. DJ DROPPIN SAYS STAY TUNED!!!!
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Slytyguy »

From the NWS:


.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...A cold front and cold upper
trough will arrive Monday. The Monday weather system has a range of
interesting possibilities, but for now the forecast is a blend of
the solutions and doesn't reflect the 12z wrfgfs idea for heavy
precip behind a cold front dragging down the snow level. After that,
there is a good chance that a period of drier weather will develop
for two or three days next week. 19
-Sardis #greatdaytobeaduck
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