December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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hawk2
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by hawk2 »

SouthHillFrosty wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:38 am Would make for last year. The south sound only had half an inch last year.
:o
And how did the snow lovers in American form take that winter? :silent:
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PortKells
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

The Canadian gives a disturbingly strong signal for a Barrie based cold snap. West coast gets more drizzle. :crazy:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Models seem to be overdoing snow totals. Potential adiabatic cooling post cold front but looks to only be in a PSCZ above 500ft with a deformation band aided by NW winds.

I think Michael and anyone in Campbell River could see a surprise 5cm.
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Monty
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:59 am Models seem to be overdoing snow totals. Potential adiabatic cooling post cold front but looks to only be in a PSCZ above 500ft with a deformation band aided by NW winds.

I think Michael and anyone in Campbell River could see a surprise 5cm.
Isothermal for the win!
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Monty wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:08 am I’m digging deep to pull up the GFSv16 or whatever upgrade they are trying to do to the GFS now but damn. C’MON

BC02C926-8CDC-4949-8511-B07C767BAF39.png
10" for me. Much better.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

SouthHillFrosty wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:38 am Would make for last year. The south sound only had half an inch last year.
You guys got screwed. Unfortunately, the more painful it is around Seattle, the more it snows up here.
Think January 2005, November 2006 and January 2020. All better than 24” snow events here with a slow moving arctic boundary
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

stuffradio wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:20 am That's a great birthday present for me!
I hope it delivers. Got 9" on my b-day in 2019 and it was a sweet present. 2nd most I've ever had on my birthday, and more than I expected to get on it in this part of the world.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthHillFrosty »

Monty wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 11:08 am You guys got screwed. Unfortunately, the more painful it is around Seattle, the more it snows up here.
Think January 2005, November 2006 and January 2020. All better than 24” snow events here with a slow moving arctic boundary
How much did you guys get up there in Feb 2019
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Oh yeah. And those 10:1 ratio snow maps are generally pretty useless given what would be a heavy rain to snow transition. Maybe 5:1, 8:1 if we get lucky. Probably chop those 10:1 map totals in half.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

Monty wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 11:21 am Oh yeah. And those 10:1 ratio snow maps are generally pretty useless given what would be a heavy rain to snow transition. Maybe 5:1, 8:1 if we get lucky. Probably chop those 10:1 map totals in half.
How much do you expect for Vic? I don't personally expect more than a bit of accumulation on the grass.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

SouthHillFrosty wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 11:20 am How much did you guys get up there in Feb 2019
~35”. Max depth around 2 feet

Dec 2008/early January 2009, not sure if you were around for that, we had a little over 60” but the depth topped out a little shy of 30”. I remember measuring around 27-28”
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Monty
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Esquimalt39 wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 11:24 am How much do you expect for Vic? I don't personally expect more than a bit of accumulation on the grass.
Pretty much impossible to say with any confidence right now. Lots of spread with where that storm may track. We need it to come north a shade right now. 🤷🏼 ( this emoji makes me look quite feminine, it’s a guy when I type it but identifies as a female when it posts.) :D
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Quite marginal indeed.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthHillFrosty »

Monty wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 11:28 am ~35”. Max depth around 2 feet

Dec 2008/early January 2009, not sure if you were around for that, we had a little over 60” but the depth topped out a little shy of 30”. I remember measuring around 27-28”
Wow you guys killed it up there. Yea I was still living down here at that time and we only got 16 inches total I think.
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