December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Monty wrote: Sat Dec 12, 2020 8:49 am Models seem to be trending towards a dry and perhaps frosty Christmas, with a ridge sliding overhead. Inversion perhaps? 🎄
We shall see. Multiple factors have to line up for us to get a cold inversion in this area. They are far easier to get in the valleys further east.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Pomoman »

I’m really looking forward to my 2cm of forecasted slush while I’m sleeping.
Burnaby Mountain @ 365 m..

Stats? Fresh out of those. But I win anyway. I got all the inches.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Pomoman wrote: Sat Dec 12, 2020 9:07 am I’m really looking forward to my 2cm of forecasted slush while I’m sleeping.
isn't it the best
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

The long range CFS is a delight. The ensembles seem to be alright too at hour 360. I'm feeling cautiously optimistic about January. If its the real deal we should start seeing some GFS teasers soon.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by hawk2 »

Pomoman wrote: Sat Dec 12, 2020 9:07 am I’m really looking forward to my 2cm of forecasted slush while I’m sleeping.
I believe that you will receive some nice snow tomorrow in the am..no slush festival. This should be your first "Elevated" Score since your :arrow: :arrow: Move
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: Sat Dec 12, 2020 10:54 am The long range CFS is a delight. The ensembles seem to be alright too at hour 360. I'm feeling cautiously optimistic about January. If its the real deal we should start seeing some GFS teasers soon.
Without a doubt. :D :thumbup:
cfs-daily-all-avg-nhemi-z500_anom_7day-1360000.png
cfs-daily-all-avg-nhemi-t2m_c_anom_7day-1360000.png
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

ECMWF doing away with any dry spell. 10 straight days of measurable precip. Drizzle and rain with temps between +7 and +10. We are bound to see an extended period of ridging late Dec into Jan.

New York sees a major snowstorm.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Dec 12, 2020 11:00 am ECMWF doing away with any dry spell. 10 straight days of measurable precip. Drizzle and rain with temps between +7 and +10. We are bound to see an extended period of ridging late Dec into Jan.

New York sees a major snowstorm.
Image
Mountain snow at least?
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: Sat Dec 12, 2020 11:30 am Mountain snow at least?
Lots of wet mountain snow and freeze-thawing. Compaction will be an issue...good news is that forms a decent base but the bad news is this will result in conditions conducive to avalanches later on in the winter.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Dec 12, 2020 11:40 am Lots of wet mountain snow and freeze-thawing. Compaction will be an issue...good news is that forms a decent base but the bad news is this will result in conditions conducive to avalanches later on in the winter.
Another day, another let down. Some small good news is that the EPO and PNA both trend negative with the NAO also being firmly negative at hour 360. Time to play the extrapolation game?
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sat Dec 12, 2020 9:01 am We shall see. Multiple factors have to line up for us to get a cold inversion in this area. They are far easier to get in the valleys further east.
I guess it depends how cold you are looking for. Inversions are pretty common in the winter. Not rare at all. Unless you are looking for Columbia basin cold pool numbers.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

No reason to not like our chances in January at this point. West coast ridging flattens late December and rebounds to our west around New Years. I’m feeling it!
9CD75DB7-CAB3-4E81-86DE-0D74AF6F2709.jpeg
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Last edited by Monty on Sat Dec 12, 2020 12:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Dec 12, 2020 11:00 am ECMWF doing away with any dry spell. 10 straight days of measurable precip. Drizzle and rain with temps between +7 and +10. We are bound to see an extended period of ridging late Dec into Jan.

New York sees a major snowstorm.
Image
How’s Barrie doing this winter?
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by hawk2 »

Hey Negative Nito :lol: :lol: ..is PornoMan getting some nice DRY snow tomorrow in the am? :think: :think:
Top of Bby Mtn for those that don't know where he is..keep the name tho :clap:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

hawk2 wrote: Sat Dec 12, 2020 12:26 pm Hey Negative Nito :lol: :lol: ..is PornoMan getting some nice DRY snow tomorrow in the am? :think: :think:
Top of Bby Mtn for those that don't know where he is..keep the name tho :clap:
:dunno:

But New York is getting a snow storm.... 9 days from now. :thumbup:
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