December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Dec 03, 2020 4:20 pm It's been cancelled Typeing3. Dr Bonnie Henry confirmed it too.
:lol:

Touché my friend.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Dec 03, 2020 4:28 pm :lol: :lol: :lol: :clap: :clap: :clap: Lock it in.

gfs-operational-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-7018400.png

gfs-operational-CYXX-tmp_qpf_snow-7018400.png
#PGHigh
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: Thu Dec 03, 2020 3:18 pm 18z living up to its “Drunk Uncle” status.

:think:
Call it an outlier but we gotta start somewhere
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Dang outliers just look so good but ensembles are so much more important at that range and they still suggest troughing in alaska. So much time still though. This bouncing around is making me dizzy already.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Only 384 hours away :clap:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

PortKells wrote: Thu Dec 03, 2020 4:47 pm Dang outliers just look so good but ensembles are so much more important at that range and they still suggest troughing in alaska. So much time still though. This bouncing around is making me dizzy already.
This is how it always start, you need to see something eventually then the model riding starts as we get within 5 to 8 day range. Who knows what will happen but a start is better than a dead end.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Monty wrote: Thu Dec 03, 2020 4:45 pm Call it an outlier but we gotta start somewhere
Yes, next winter, as this one has been cancelled.

:cry:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

FWIW, there are still some cold members on the Canadian Ensembles.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Catnip wrote: Thu Dec 03, 2020 4:50 pm Yes, next winter, as this one has been cancelled.

:cry:
That's already canceled as well.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Weather101 wrote: Thu Dec 03, 2020 4:49 pm This is how it always start, you need to see something eventually then the model riding starts as we get within 5 to 8 day range. Who knows what will happen but a start is better than a dead end.
Couldn't agree more. There has been a lot more teasers at this time than there were up until about Boxing day last year when it things started to change and bounce around like this.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: Thu Dec 03, 2020 5:16 pm Couldn't agree more. There has been a lot more teasers at this time than there were up until about Boxing day last year when it things started to change and bounce around like this.
Like I said, there are cold members showing up in the ensembles. I sense a pattern change is unfolding for mid-late December. More likely later than sooner, unfortunately. But during this time, models will put out a variety of different solutions from epic hype to winter cancel and probably some run of the mill mixed in. Buckle up, and enjoy the model ride. :D :clap: :thumbup:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by hawk2 »

I know some of you guys really love it but model riding is just so painful to look that far into the future..imo. It's really pointless because it hardly ever confirms. Maybe this time the models will collapse in our favour and instead of showing persistent ridging we will get a cold blast that shows up somewhat unexpectedly. Just like some rug pulls of the past where it was supposed to get cold and snowy and we ended up getting screwed
Last edited by hawk2 on Thu Dec 03, 2020 6:28 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by hawk2 »

And I know lots of you're too young to remember this but the forecasts we used to get way back were wrong so often in marginal events it was almost laughable. And I'm talking within 24 hours the forecast would bust in our favour and against us at times as well
:lol: :lol:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by hawk2 »

Having said that looking into the crystal ball, isn't the cold always just 14 days away? LOL. Hopefully this time the models don't start throwing ridging back into the Solutions in the long term. It would be sad if December was ridgy and mild
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by hawk2 »

Meanwhile in Princeton, under bommy Ridge, it was a low of -11 and high of -3 today :clap: :clap:
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