Dang outliers just look so good but ensembles are so much more important at that range and they still suggest troughing in alaska. So much time still though. This bouncing around is making me dizzy already.
PortKells wrote: ↑Thu Dec 03, 2020 4:47 pm
Dang outliers just look so good but ensembles are so much more important at that range and they still suggest troughing in alaska. So much time still though. This bouncing around is making me dizzy already.
This is how it always start, you need to see something eventually then the model riding starts as we get within 5 to 8 day range. Who knows what will happen but a start is better than a dead end.
Weather101 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 03, 2020 4:49 pm
This is how it always start, you need to see something eventually then the model riding starts as we get within 5 to 8 day range. Who knows what will happen but a start is better than a dead end.
Couldn't agree more. There has been a lot more teasers at this time than there were up until about Boxing day last year when it things started to change and bounce around like this.
PortKells wrote: ↑Thu Dec 03, 2020 5:16 pm
Couldn't agree more. There has been a lot more teasers at this time than there were up until about Boxing day last year when it things started to change and bounce around like this.
Like I said, there are cold members showing up in the ensembles. I sense a pattern change is unfolding for mid-late December. More likely later than sooner, unfortunately. But during this time, models will put out a variety of different solutions from epic hype to winter cancel and probably some run of the mill mixed in. Buckle up, and enjoy the model ride.
I know some of you guys really love it but model riding is just so painful to look that far into the future..imo. It's really pointless because it hardly ever confirms. Maybe this time the models will collapse in our favour and instead of showing persistent ridging we will get a cold blast that shows up somewhat unexpectedly. Just like some rug pulls of the past where it was supposed to get cold and snowy and we ended up getting screwed
Last edited by hawk2 on Thu Dec 03, 2020 6:28 pm, edited 2 times in total.
And I know lots of you're too young to remember this but the forecasts we used to get way back were wrong so often in marginal events it was almost laughable. And I'm talking within 24 hours the forecast would bust in our favour and against us at times as well
Having said that looking into the crystal ball, isn't the cold always just 14 days away? LOL. Hopefully this time the models don't start throwing ridging back into the Solutions in the long term. It would be sad if December was ridgy and mild