November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

[Roberts Creeker]

You know it's a slow weather week when the majority of the forum chat is about the US forum...I feel I know some of them almost as much as some of our regulars now.

[Antares]

All that’s missing from that forum is Kevin Martin, for those that go back that far.

Oh god. I remember that guy.

https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Kevin_Martin

[wetcoast91]

What about the theory of upper atmosphere movement which increases as the earth warms. This warming cycles air in a way through the upper arctic atmosphere more and in turn “warms” the arctic but at the same time displaces the defending air in the arctic further south creating a less intense but chillier weather away from the poles increasing snowpacks and cold spells in cities.

Plausable but we are also seeing warmer departures away from the poles at the moment.



Also expecting early Dec ridging based on this:

https://twitter.com/ericfisher/status/1 ... 4322787329

[Radar]

Delayed extreme seasonal effects as it will take longer for the “cooler air” to develop. Same as hot summer temps being delayed a bit.

Plausable but we are also seeing warmer departures away from the poles at the moment.



Also expecting early Dec ridging based on this:

https://twitter.com/ericfisher/status/1 ... 4322787329

[Weather101]

https://globalnews.ca/news/7471434/wint ... -2021/amp/

This has us near normal for temps due to warm water off the coast.

But on the flip end has us above normal for snowfall

[Weather101]

..

[PortKells]

Plausable but we are also seeing warmer departures away from the poles at the moment.



Also expecting early Dec ridging based on this:

https://twitter.com/ericfisher/status/1 ... 4322787329

December always starts with a thud lately, no biggie.

[hawk2]

Never one to look too far ahead (Mr48H), but that AR event GFS is showing Nov27 to 29th is Ugly..even for the Similkameen area

[hawk2]

Ohhhh right, models have been struggling(again) lately for the last 3-4 weeks, so cant imagine they have the next 3 to 4 weeks nailed down right now either

We will win Butties!

[Weather101]

Woah what's that weird bright object in the sky

[AbbyJr]

Ohhhh right, models have been struggling(again) lately for the last 3-4 weeks, so cant imagine they have the next 3 to 4 weeks nailed down right now either

We will win Butties!

Welcome back.

[PortKells]

Woah what's that weird bright object in the sky

Trying out a new strain?

[Weather101]

Trying out a new strain?

Couple new strains.

[Typeing3]

People like that are the worst, I promise you in person he would never act like that.

He's in good form this morning. Looks like he's downvoted all your posts.

[Typeing3]

12z GFS ensembles: