November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Monty
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: Wed Nov 11, 2020 8:58 am 5943B150-C498-40DA-AA38-066B617A4F76.jpeg
Looks nasty for the mouth of the Columbia. I’m going to penticton this weekend. Looks like I might see snow.
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Pomoman »

Seems EC and TWN are suggesting there may be another round of wet snow on higher elevations around Metro Van. High of 4 tomorrow for the city so definitely cool. I’ve noticed a consistent 2 degree drop in temp coming up my hill. Wonder if I’ll seeing more flakes fall.

Edit. I was looking at Poco’s forecast. Vancouver’s makes no such mention. Still close though.
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Pomoman wrote: Wed Nov 11, 2020 9:42 am Seems EC and TWN are suggesting there may be another round of wet snow on higher elevations around Metro Van. High of 4 tomorrow for the city so definitely cool. I’ve noticed a consistent 2 degree drop in temp coming up my hill. Wonder if I’ll seeing more flakes fall.
I was going to mention that as well looking at the temps
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS looked crazy wet in the mid and long range.
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Pomoman wrote: Wed Nov 11, 2020 9:42 am Seems EC and TWN are suggesting there may be another round of wet snow on higher elevations around Metro Van. High of 4 tomorrow for the city so definitely cool. I’ve noticed a consistent 2 degree drop in temp coming up my hill. Wonder if I’ll seeing more flakes fall.

Edit. I was looking at Poco’s forecast. Vancouver’s makes no such mention. Still close though.
Models look 1-2 degrees warmer tomorrow than what we saw Monday evening. So should be even more marginal, with higher dew points.
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Pomoman »

Monty wrote: Wed Nov 11, 2020 9:54 am Models look 1-2 degrees warmer tomorrow than what we saw Monday evening. So should be even more marginal, with higher dew points.
Ah darn. I guess no accumulation even if I do see flakes.

Thanks for the addl context!
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

A tad on the wet side.
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Pomoman wrote: Wed Nov 11, 2020 9:58 am Ah darn. I guess no accumulation even if I do see flakes.

Thanks for the addl context!
Models could be wrong but it looks a touch warmer at the moment. Certainly chilly out there today.
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Pomoman wrote: Wed Nov 11, 2020 9:58 am Ah darn. I guess no accumulation even if I do see flakes.

Thanks for the addl context!
The layer looks to be above freezing to 900mb, so unlikely. But, who knows!
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Abby_wx wrote: Wed Nov 11, 2020 9:12 am Still way too close to call.

Got down to -1.3C this morning.
-1.3 here as well. Cold day so far. Cloudy and 1.6C ATM
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Euro looks juicy early next week. Bye mountain snow and hello high water :wave:
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Hmm. Not far off from seeing a cold pattern setup here. Cut that low off nearer to Hawaii and it might get interesting :thumbup:

Nope. Big Nito ridge.
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Monty wrote: Wed Nov 11, 2020 10:20 am -1.3 here as well. Cold day so far. Cloudy and 1.6C ATM
Got down to -2°C here. Easily the heaviest frost so far this season.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Day 10-15 mean from the EPS, GEFS and CMC.
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Monty wrote: Wed Nov 11, 2020 10:33 am Hmm. Not far off from seeing a cold pattern setup here. Cut that low off nearer to Hawaii and it might get interesting :thumbup:

Nope. Big Nito ridge.
AR events and ridging. Kind of looks like a heart or uterus.

Image

This is typical of Nina for November. Don't usually see the goods till late Dec onwards to March.
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