October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

[wetcoast91]

I'm going to guess we will see a chilly pattern coming up but nothing to crazy.

Really dry. Chilly and then potentially an inversion with high level moisture swinging over the ridge. You can see the models showing signs of undercutting in the 8-10 day range which would put the West Coast at risk for an AR event in the 11-14 day period.

Just looks really Ninoish but makes sense at looking at the latest numbers. A moderate to strong Nina can result in patterns like this in the Oct-Dec period.

Good news in this is that California sees a ton of rain and Mountain snow.

[VanCitySouth]

Really dry. Chilly and then potentially an inversion with high level moisture swinging over the ridge. You can see the models showing signs of undercutting in the 8-10 day range which would put the West Coast at risk for an AR event in the 11-14 day period.

Just looks really Ninoish but makes sense at looking at the latest numbers. A moderate to strong Nina can result in patterns like this in the Oct-Dec period.

Good news in this is that California sees a ton of rain and Mountain snow.

You know what? California needs rain more than we want snow. I would happily have a pathetic winter if it means fewer hectares burned and fewer lives ruined.

[Weather101]

Really dry. Chilly and then potentially an inversion with high level moisture swinging over the ridge. You can see the models showing signs of undercutting in the 8-10 day range which would put the West Coast at risk for an AR event in the 11-14 day period.

Just looks really Ninoish but makes sense at looking at the latest numbers. A moderate to strong Nina can result in patterns like this in the Oct-Dec period.

Good news in this is that California sees a ton of rain and Mountain snow.

Cali really needs it

[Coquitlam79]

Next week looks pretty wet before the cool down next weekend.

[PortKells]

You know what? California needs rain more than we want snow. I would happily have a pathetic winter if it means fewer hectares burned and fewer lives ruined.

Not to mention the food they produce for many places including BC. And wine, less importantly.

[Antares]

Not to mention the food they produce for many places including BC. And wine, less importantly.

Excuse me, wine is not less important!

[AbbyJr]

Very wet next week on the ensembles:

ecmwf-ensemble-CYXX-ens_box-4145600.png

cmc-ensemble-all-CYXX-ens_box-4145600.png

gfs-ensemble-all-CYXX-ens_box-4167200.png

[Monty]

Conflicting reports. Nito says really dry. Ensembles say Wet.

[Monty]

Hmm. Halloween was pretty close to normal here in the way of trick or treaters. We had 75-80. We normally get around 100. I think the typical range is probably 80-120 in this neighborhood.

[tyweather]

Snowy run

[Antares]

Hmm. Halloween was pretty close to normal here in the way of trick or treaters. We had 75-80. We normally get around 100. I think the typical range is probably 80-120 in this neighborhood.

Good to hear.

[AbbyJr]

Conflicting reports. Nito says really dry. Ensembles say Wet.

El Nito years are typically dry. That explains it.

[PortKells]

Excuse me, wine is not less important!

True, but I think the okanagans wineries alone could easily cover BCs demand in a pinch.

Food wise, the picture is murky. We need california to keep producing food for us, sadly. So their weather is somewhat relevant to us in that sense.

[PortKells]

Snowy run

Nice!

[Lisa0527]

Snowy run

Why does my Tropical Tidbits map for that date look nothing like this

Edit: figured it out. That’s yesterday’s forecast. Today’s looks drier.