October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Mon Oct 26, 2020 10:55 am Still slowly melting out of the roof valleys.
sleet.jpg
First PortKells wife and now your roof??

Been a horrible week.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Glacier »

Record smashing low highs yesterday. A high of just -2.1C in Kamloops and a high of 0.4C in Penticton. Old records for any date at or before the 25th of October broken by 2 and 1.5 degrees.

Edit: Same goes for Abbotsford. Yesterday's high: 4.4C. Previous Oct 25th or earlier record: 6.1C, set Oct 19th, 1972.

Edit2: Agassiz was essentially tied for the old record of 5.6C, set Oct 23, 1956. Yesterday's high was 5.7C, but remember that 1956 numbers were rounded to nearest degree F.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Really odd to see such a mundane pattern in the mid and long range GFS.

Given November is around the corner and we're in a moderate Nina....I'd have expected a never-ending deluge by now.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Glacier wrote: Mon Oct 26, 2020 12:15 pm Record smashing low highs yesterday. A high of just -2.1C in Kamloops and a high of 0.4C in Penticton. Old records for any date at or before the 25th of October broken by 2 and 1.5 degrees.

Edit: Same goes for Abbotsford. Yesterday's high: 4.4C. Previous Oct 25th or earlier record: 6.1C, set Oct 19th, 1972.

Edit2: Agassiz was essentially tied for the old record of 5.6C, set Oct 23, 1956. Yesterday's high was 5.7C, but remember that 1956 numbers were rounded to nearest degree F.
Abbotsford got up to 5.8C yesterday. Still a record, though.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

I remember saying a few weeks ago I wouldn't be surprised to see constant ridging.. Kinda wish I never said that lol I really hope this isn't a trend all winter.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Glacier wrote: Mon Oct 26, 2020 12:15 pm Record smashing low highs yesterday. A high of just -2.1C in Kamloops and a high of 0.4C in Penticton. Old records for any date at or before the 25th of October broken by 2 and 1.5 degrees.

Edit: Same goes for Abbotsford. Yesterday's high: 4.4C. Previous Oct 25th or earlier record: 6.1C, set Oct 19th, 1972.

Edit2: Agassiz was essentially tied for the old record of 5.6C, set Oct 23, 1956. Yesterday's high was 5.7C, but remember that 1956 numbers were rounded to nearest degree F.
'56-57 was a pretty good winter. Average January temp of -1.1C at YVR. :thumbup:
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Weather101 wrote: Mon Oct 26, 2020 2:36 pm I remember saying a few weeks ago I wouldn't be surprised to see constant ridging.. Kinda wish I never said that lol I really hope this isn't a trend all winter.
I hope its not a trend either, unless that ridge retrogrades to the GOA. :D :clap: 8-) :snowman:
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Oct 26, 2020 2:15 pm Really odd to see such a mundane pattern in the mid and long range GFS.

Given November is around the corner and we're in a moderate Nina....I'd have expected a never-ending deluge by now.
Well...persisent Nov ridging doesn't bode well for lots of snow since it activates "the blob" in the Eastern Pacific. The difference in temps makes mariginal setups more "sloppy"
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Oct 26, 2020 2:48 pm Well...persisent Nov ridging doesn't bode well for lots of snow since it activates "the blob" in the Eastern Pacific. The difference in temps makes mariginal setups more "sloppy"
Once the jet fires up those above average SSTs should be wiped out in a couple of weeks.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Oct 26, 2020 2:42 pm I hope its not a trend either, unless that ridge retrogrades to the GOA. :D :clap: 8-) :snowman:
We can hope :thumbup:
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

VanCitySouth wrote: Mon Oct 26, 2020 10:27 am Yeah I was just curious, because sleet is just any old mess of wintry precipitation, it's a very broad term up north. It seems like in the US sleet is used to describe pure ice pellets.
I say sleet,always have and always will. Ice pellets is for the young whipper snappers. Ice pellets doesn't even make sense as it's not a solid but soft and wet when it lands,much like slush or a 7 eleven slurpee. :dunno: But I suppose soft ice is still ice until it turns to 100% liquid. Besides, I like using the word sleeting in a sentence. ;)
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Forrest Gump wrote: Mon Oct 26, 2020 5:59 pm I say sleet,always have and always will. Ice pellets is for the young whipper snappers. Ice pellets doesn't even make sense as it's not a solid but soft and wet when it lands,much like slush or a 7 eleven slurpee. :dunno: But I suppose soft ice is still ice until it turns to 100% liquid. Besides, I like using the word sleeting in a sentence. ;)
Ice Pellets = Sleet. Same thing whichever term you use.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Oct 26, 2020 6:09 pm Ice Pellets = Sleet. Same thing whichever term you use.
when you check a forecast from EC I'm pretty sure they say "chance of ice pellets" never seen them use the word sleet before.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

I had sleet sometime over night and when I went out at 8AM my car was covered in a sheet of ice. Actually had to scrape this morning.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Weather101 wrote: Mon Oct 26, 2020 6:15 pm when you check a forecast from EC I'm pretty sure they say "chance of ice pellets" never seen them use the word sleet before.
Yeah, sleet is an american term. EC and TWN will always say ice pellets.
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