October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Bonovox
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Bonovox wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 11:25 am12z GEM.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

12z GFS has snow for Monty. Maybe.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Bonovox wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 11:28 am 12z GFS has snow for Monty. Maybe.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Bonovox wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 11:29 am
Sub freezing 925mb temps with precip and Easterly winds is almost always snow here. But.... it’s October so I’m not sure.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Antares »

Monty wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 11:55 am Sub freezing 925mb temps with precip and Easterly winds is almost always snow here. But.... it’s October so I’m not sure.
Sun angle is low enough now that that's no issue. October just doesn't feature snow much because these sorts of incursions are so rare.

Good to see they can still happen in our new warm climate. :roll:
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

From Phil on the American forums:
I know everyone here is focused on the near term cold, but I’m just as intrigued by the potent MJO/GWO projected by the EPS suite.

Could be some big league storminess and/or zonal flow during the first 2-3 weeks of November w/ subsidence transiting the MC along w/ the rise in AAM (tendency & integral). Andrew should be happy.

I’m not well versed in windstorm climatology out there, but this seems like a pattern that might favor something like that.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 12:34 pm From Phil on the American forums:
I honestly avoid all his posts lol
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Monty wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 11:55 am Sub freezing 925mb temps with precip and Easterly winds is almost always snow here. But.... it’s October so I’m not sure.
Well, you’re in luck.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Weather101 wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 12:58 pm I honestly avoid all his posts lol
Why?
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 1:56 pmWhy?
Have you seen all the crap he posts that never happen ? Then he gets mad at other people for not understanding him when he doesn't even try to explain in terms most people can understand. He's a good seller on faint hope that's really about it. He's smart yes but not in ways that actually matters to a forecast.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Tsunami?

How about a REAL windstorm? Check this video out!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pBkPichBlt8
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Weather101 wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 2:05 pm Have you seen all the crap he posts that never happen ? Then he gets mad at other people for not understanding him when he doesn't even try to explain in terms most people can understand. He's a good seller on faint hope that's really about it. He's smart yes but not in ways that actually matters to a forecast.
I agree that he often speaks in technical language that very few understand and does not clearly explain it. I don't follow his predictions enough to know his track record, but I do find his unwillingness to speak in a language we all understand to be rather frustrating.

He's definitely smart but it comes across as if he just wants to show off how smart he is rather than help others learn.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Image

Image
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Wasn't this the same area that got hit a couple months ago ?
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