October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS is still close to showing our first region wide freeze of the season on Thursday morning.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Oct 18, 2020 11:30 am 12z GFS is still close to showing our first region wide freeze of the season on Thursday morning.
Almost.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Gets there by Sunday morning.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sun Oct 18, 2020 11:35 am Gets there by Sunday morning.
Saturday morning looks pretty chilly on the euro too.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

12Z sounding for YXX
gfs_2020101812_fh144_sounding_CYXX.png
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sun Oct 18, 2020 11:35 am Gets there by Sunday morning.
Now I'm worried for Nito's tomatoes.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

The GEM is pretty cool on Monday morning.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Storm wrote: ↑Sun Oct 18, 2020 11:38 am Now I'm worried for Nito's tomatoes.
Forget gardening. It's time for snow and cold! ;)
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Well...it's time to harvest. Was a superb growing season.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Storm wrote: ↑Sun Oct 18, 2020 11:38 am Now I'm worried for Nito's tomatoes.
Smokey and now frost flavoured. Delicious!
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Oct 18, 2020 11:30 am 12z GFS is still close to showing our first region wide freeze of the season on Thursday morning.
If it clears out Wednesday night I think outlying areas will see some freezing low temps.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

FWIW. The Canadian ensemble has moved to the warmer and wetter camp for the late week system
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Monty wrote: ↑Sun Oct 18, 2020 12:46 pm FWIW. The Canadian ensemble has moved to the warmer and wetter camp for the late week system
Let's do it!!! This would cause a HISTORIC forum collapse on AF. CMON!!!
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sun Oct 18, 2020 1:23 pm Let's do it!!! This would cause a HISTORIC forum collapse on AF. CMON!!!
Nice warm south windstorm as 985mb low crosses central Vancouver Island. You’re evil. The GEPS tends to be a fairly reliable tool.

I see “snow wizard” down south is already comparing this to October 1949, which would mean lows in the -5 to -6 range. Absolutely nothing in the models to support that at this time.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: ↑Sun Oct 18, 2020 1:30 pm Nice warm south windstorm as 985mb low crosses central Vancouver Island. You’re evil. The GEPS tends to be a fairly reliable tool.

I see “snow wizard” down south is already comparing this to October 1949, which would mean lows in the -5 to -6 range. Absolutely nothing in the models to support that at this time.
It doesn't look that warm. Temps would probably hover just under 10c which is seasonably cool for a high at this time of year.

Seems like Snow wizard compares every October to 1949. Can't take that guy seriously at all.
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