October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 13142
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 23682 times
Been thanked: 25653 times

Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

First freeze of the season next Sunday?
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
Top
User avatar
Roberts Creeker
Donator
Donator
Posts: 3997
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:17 pm
Location: Upper Roberts Creek
Elevation: 162 M./532 ft.
Has thanked: 22683 times
Been thanked: 7655 times

Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Monty wrote: ↑Mon Oct 12, 2020 9:49 am I think there is a decent chance we will see wind warnings issued later today for tomorrow’s system.
Been up for the Sunshine Coast since this morning.
Top
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4575
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 959 times
Been thanked: 9576 times

Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Mon Oct 12, 2020 12:06 pm Euro shows it as well, but different timeframe. Nice to see nevertheless. :thumbup:

ecmwf-deterministic-nhemi-z500_anom-3216800.png
The pattern progression on the Euro has me feeling pretty good about a decent cold snap during the second half of October. Looks promising but time will tell
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
Top
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6535
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4657 times
Been thanked: 15106 times

Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

18z HRDPS bring the low onshore N of Campbell River. A little deeper than previous runs.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Top
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6535
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4657 times
Been thanked: 15106 times

Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Mon Oct 12, 2020 6:13 pm 18z HRDPS bring the low onshore N of Campbell River. A little deeper than previous runs.
Corresponding wind. Gusts to 40-45 knots (75 km/h-ish) over exposed areas seems like a reasonable call.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Top
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5929
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 11030 times
Been thanked: 10919 times

Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Mon Oct 12, 2020 6:17 pm Corresponding wind. Gusts to 40-45 knots (75 km/h-ish) over exposed areas seems like a reasonable call.
Track that low a bit further south and we will have damaging winds over the Lower Mainland.
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
Top
User avatar
Antares
Model Rider
Model Rider
Posts: 1329
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:10 pm
Location: Wellington, PEI
Elevation: 5m
Has thanked: 1655 times
Been thanked: 2345 times

Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Antares »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Mon Oct 12, 2020 6:57 pm Track that low a bit further south and we will have damaging winds over the Lower Mainland.
:wish:
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
Top
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5929
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 11030 times
Been thanked: 10919 times

Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Antares wrote: ↑Mon Oct 12, 2020 7:35 pm:wish:
Still possible. :thumbup:
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
Top
User avatar
VanCitySouth
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 3905
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:21 pm
Location: Vancouver (Langara)
Elevation: 72 m/236 ft
Has thanked: 4157 times
Been thanked: 8289 times

Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Wind warning just went up. I think EC is trusting the HRDPS on this one, it's the most bullish on intensity and track it seems (in terms of LM wind, that is). We shall see.
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 65 to 25 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 22 cm
Top
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5929
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 11030 times
Been thanked: 10919 times

Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Mon Oct 12, 2020 10:35 pm Wind warning just went up. I think EC is trusting the HRDPS on this one, it's the most bullish on intensity and track it seems (in terms of LM wind, that is). We shall see.
Most models bring in strong winds, but yes the HRDPS is leading the way in terms of intensity. Its a high resolution model so EC must be trusting it. I'm sure there are other factors they are considering as well though. We will see. Windstorms are difficult to predict around here and are known for busting at the last minute. Time will tell. :thumbup:
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
Top
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6535
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4657 times
Been thanked: 15106 times

Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

4km WRF.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Top
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4575
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 959 times
Been thanked: 9576 times

Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Looks like the storm is coming in at the stronger end of model solutions. Maybe inline with the HRDPS Offshore and west coast observations show its pressure down to at least 986mb and possibly still strengthening
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
Top
User avatar
Hound
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 4694
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:11 pm
Location: Fraser Heights
Has thanked: 29944 times
Been thanked: 10118 times

Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

EkNgWuqWoAEytMG.jpg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
North Surrey/Fraser Heights
Elevation - 85 M./278 Ft.
:eatyum:
Top
User avatar
Glacier
Model Rider
Model Rider
Posts: 1855
Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2019 2:21 pm
Location: Vernon
Elevation: 545m/1788 ft
Has thanked: 464 times
Been thanked: 4244 times

Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Glacier »

Snowing in Anahim Lake.
121468354_352638372475490_4080660066487482456_n.jpg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Top
Wintergirl
Weather Tracker
Weather Tracker
Posts: 206
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:32 pm
Location: Squamish
Has thanked: 231 times
Been thanked: 854 times

Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Wintergirl »

Wet snow up here in Whistler this morning :thumbup:
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Southern British Columbia - Weather Discussions”