October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

tyweather wrote: ↑Sun Oct 11, 2020 4:35 pm Revelstoke had a big dump. The 27cm tall Gnome is buried.
Day umm :thumbup:
I hope to see the Kootenay slopes this year if they stay open.
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Monty
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Looking at the ensemble spread for next weekend and it’s clear that the models are lost beyond about 4-5 days right now.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

High of 12.2c at YVR yesterday. Coldest since April 22nd.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Whistler looking pretty this morning!
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Happy Thanksgiving everyone! May we all have a lot of Turkey and stuffing today. Stock up on that egg nog and let's start singing Carols after today as Winter is coming!
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

stuffradio wrote: ↑Mon Oct 12, 2020 9:23 am Happy Thanksgiving everyone! May we all have a lot of Turkey and stuffing today. Stock up on that egg nog and let's start singing Carols after today as Winter is coming!
You as well Hound, and thank you for the lovely snow picture! :thumbup:
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

I think there is a decent chance we will see wind warnings issued later today for tomorrow’s system.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Monty wrote: ↑Mon Oct 12, 2020 9:49 am I think there is a decent chance we will see wind warnings issued later today for tomorrow’s system.
Yeah. The GFS and GEM are slower with the low than the Euro, but decent track.
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

The GEM brings in a pretty strong SW'ly. Gusts to 43 knots in exposed locations.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Mon Oct 12, 2020 11:26 am Yeah. The GFS and GEM are slower with the low than the Euro, but decent track.
Yup. Definitely not the strongest windstorm we have seen but looks like a decent wind event nevertheless. I expect some wind warnings from Environment Canada either at the 4 PM update today or the 5 AM one tomorrow.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

HRDPS rather deep with that low for Tuesday. Good track for significant winds across parts of Vancouver Island, Lower Mainland, and Fraser Valley. Looks like an impressive early season wind event incoming. :thumbup: :clap:
hrdpstueslow.gif
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Cold air slides east of the Rockies next weekend per 12z GFS. Euro and GEM look a lot closer with some pretty chilly air settling into the interior.

12z GEM 850mb temps for Saturday evening.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Lots of blocking in the mid range.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Mon Oct 12, 2020 11:57 am Lots of blocking in the mid range.
Euro shows it as well, but different timeframe. Nice to see nevertheless. :thumbup:
ecmwf-deterministic-nhemi-z500_anom-3216800.png
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