March 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Re: March 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Antares wrote: Sat Mar 02, 2019 11:31 am Much colder is a bit exaggerated. That month averaged -0.4C which is pretty similar to this past February.

http://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_da ... 36&Month=2
Yep. But you will also note that the arctic blast in '36 was much colder. -4C/-13C on the 7th in Vancouver.

YVR normally averages nearly two days below -10C per year as per 1981-2010 averages...we have not seen that in nearly six years now.
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Re: March 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Agassiz averaged -3.3C in Feb 1936. Compare that with -0.1C this past Feb. Not even close.
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Re: March 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

The most remarkable part of February was how persistent the cool pattern was. The first shot of arctic air was probably the most anomalous, at least at the surface, and it was relatively brief. We just really struggle getting those low level cold outflows nowadays, which is why we struggle to see those -10c lows at YVR
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Re: March 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Monty wrote: Sat Mar 02, 2019 12:46 pm The most remarkable part of February was how persistent the cool pattern was.
Actually, this month of February was obviously very cold overall but the cold was moderate and persistent; there was no harsh cold.
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Re: March 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Mattman wrote: Sat Mar 02, 2019 7:02 am I wonder how much downsloping will be a factor before the brunt of the cold air arrives. It was -5 in Lytton and -10 in Kamloops at 7am. It'll probably be like last week: nominal heating by compression followed by nominal cooling. (I wonder if Nitro is still calling for +8 to +11). On that note, has anyone seen the temps in southern Alberta this am? Flirting with -40 over there.
They had to bump up today's forecast high for Abbotsford from 2C to 6C. I thought 2C was pretty pessimistic considering the cold air only started moving in around 4 am this morning.
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Re: March 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Monty wrote: Sat Mar 02, 2019 11:01 am For where exactly?

That’s not true for any of the longer running stations. 3rd coldest at Shawnigan Lake. ‘36 and ‘89 were significantly colder with more impressive arctic airmasses within the month.
It was a touch colder than '89 on the mainland, but that year certainly had more impressive lows. We didn't even manage -10C this February, which is truly odd for such a cold month.

But there's no question we had colder Februaries before the airport era.
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Re: March 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Canada Goose wrote: Sat Mar 02, 2019 1:09 pm Actually, this month of February was obviously very cold overall but the cold was moderate and persistent; there was no harsh cold.
I think we are saying the same thing. Persistent cool/cold but no major arctic outbreak.
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Re: March 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Monty wrote: Sat Mar 02, 2019 12:11 pm Rumour has it that Wetcoast has been spotted in white rock this afternoon.
Reaching +11° will be close, white rock reporting +9 and I'm at +8.
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Re: March 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Forrest Gump wrote: Sat Mar 02, 2019 1:24 pm Reaching +11° will be close, white rock reporting +9 and I'm at +8.
Don’t think they’ll make it. Outflow is probably cooling now.
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Re: March 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Abby_wx wrote: Sat Mar 02, 2019 1:23 pm It was a touch colder than '89 on the mainland, but that year certainly had more impressive lows. We didn't even manage -10C this February, which is truly odd for such a cold month.

But there's no question we had colder Februaries before the airport era.
Interesting. ‘89 was 0.9C colder here. Mostly made up of colder low temperatures. -4.5C in ‘89 and -3.0C in 2019.
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Re: March 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: Sat Mar 02, 2019 1:24 pm I think we are saying the same thing. Persistent cool/cold but no major arctic outbreak.
Similar to December 2016 in this way as well.
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Re: March 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Abby_wx wrote: Sat Mar 02, 2019 1:23 pm It was a touch colder than '89 on the mainland, but that year certainly had more impressive lows. We didn't even manage -10C this February, which is truly odd for such a cold month.

But there's no question we had colder Februaries before the airport era.
The '89 event was insane. Most locales had sub -10C highs with that arctic blast!
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Re: March 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Forrest Gump wrote: Sat Mar 02, 2019 1:24 pm Reaching +11° will be close, white rock reporting +9 and I'm at +8.
It was +11 on the car thermometer in downtown Vancouver. +9 in Surrey/North Delta
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Re: March 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Someone finally caught Nito/Wetcoast on video! :clap:
During the last snowfall when his prediction of 11c weather failed!
https://youtu.be/MTsJiE5-pYw?t=8
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Re: March 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Mar 02, 2019 4:10 pm The '89 event was insane. Most locales had sub -10C highs with that arctic blast!
Yeah 1989 was way colder than anything we've experienced this month. In fact, outflow winds were stronger and persisted longer in 1989 as well. 3 days of 90+ km/h gusts and 2 days with -15C lows. Here's the stats for Abbotsford at YXX:
Screen Shot 2019-03-02 at 6.14.00 PM.png
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