May 2020 Forecasts and Discussion

John · Post by **John** » Wed May 06, 2020 7:46 am

Wet morning had some thunderstorms last night. Life is good.

Post by **stuffradio** » Wed May 06, 2020 8:04 am

ECMWF seasonal forecast showing La Nina conditions developing this summer and CFS supporting it.

nino34Mon.gif

Monty · Post by **Monty** » Wed May 06, 2020 8:09 am

Dry here last night. No rain no thunder just wind.

Canada Goose · Post by **Canada Goose** » Wed May 06, 2020 8:14 am

All the stations in the area recorded 2 to 3 mm last night. Well, not a big storm.

AbbyJr · Post by **AbbyJr** » Wed May 06, 2020 10:42 am

Canada Goose wrote: ↑Wed May 06, 2020 8:14 am All the stations in the area recorded 2 to 3 mm last night. Well, not a big storm.

Last night's storms were fast moving. They didn't stall so that probably explains the low rainfall totals. I had some brief intense downpours but they were very short in duration.

PortKells · Post by **PortKells** » Wed May 06, 2020 12:43 pm

stuffradio wrote: ↑Wed May 06, 2020 8:04 am ECMWF seasonal forecast showing La Nina conditions developing this summer and CFS supporting it. nino34Mon.gif

Fantastic news. Cool summer incoming

Canada Goose · Post by **Canada Goose** » Wed May 06, 2020 1:05 pm

AbbyJr · Post by **AbbyJr** » Wed May 06, 2020 1:36 pm

PortKells wrote: ↑Wed May 06, 2020 12:43 pm Fantastic news. Cool summer incoming

That may bode well with us this upcoming winter as it usually takes some time for us to feel the effects of ENSO. So if we can get a solid La Nina developing by summer, then by winter we will be all set for cold and snow.

Personally, I still feel that a hot summer is on the table this year. I just have that feeling but we'll see.

Typeing3 · Post by **Typeing3** » Wed May 06, 2020 2:13 pm

PortKells wrote: ↑Wed May 06, 2020 12:43 pm Fantastic news. Cool summer incoming

I hope not. Minimal rainfall with average high/lows of 30C/10C in July and August would be lovely.

Typeing3 · Post by **Typeing3** » Wed May 06, 2020 2:15 pm

stuffradio wrote: ↑Wed May 06, 2020 8:04 am ECMWF seasonal forecast showing La Nina conditions developing this summer and CFS supporting it. nino34Mon.gif

FWIW, at face value, that would be the strongest Nina since 2010-11. Anomalies peaked at -1.69 that winter.

BhamMe · Post by **BhamMe** » Wed May 06, 2020 3:26 pm

stuffradio wrote: ↑Wed May 06, 2020 8:04 am ECMWF seasonal forecast showing La Nina conditions developing this summer and CFS supporting it. nino34Mon.gif

This is the stuff ski dreams are made of IF....we can get across the border.

Typeing3 · Post by **Typeing3** » Wed May 06, 2020 4:47 pm

Overdue for a heatwave!
https://mobile.twitter.com/YVR__Weather ... 2803939329

Canada Goose · Post by **Canada Goose** » Wed May 06, 2020 5:21 pm

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Wed May 06, 2020 4:47 pm Overdue for a heatwave!

I saw it yesterday but didn't post it here because of the relevance of this stat.

Canada Goose · Post by **Canada Goose** » Wed May 06, 2020 6:05 pm

Oh yeah!

Post by **stuffradio** » Thu May 07, 2020 7:55 am

Here's the ECMWF forecast
https://twitter.com/blizzardof96/status ... 2511593472

May 2020 Forecasts and Discussion

Re: May 2020 Forecasts and Discussion

Re: May 2020 Forecasts and Discussion

Re: May 2020 Forecasts and Discussion

Re: May 2020 Forecasts and Discussion

Re: May 2020 Forecasts and Discussion

Re: May 2020 Forecasts and Discussion

Re: May 2020 Forecasts and Discussion

Re: May 2020 Forecasts and Discussion

Re: May 2020 Forecasts and Discussion

Re: May 2020 Forecasts and Discussion

Re: May 2020 Forecasts and Discussion

Re: May 2020 Forecasts and Discussion

Re: May 2020 Forecasts and Discussion

Re: May 2020 Forecasts and Discussion

Re: May 2020 Forecasts and Discussion