February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

It's sad, but ya, time for some nice sunny 15c days.
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Monty wrote: Thu Feb 28, 2019 10:49 am Anyone ready for some more slush

193AE05B-3E64-402C-B4A6-FF95557059B6.png
No.
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Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Monty wrote: Thu Feb 28, 2019 11:21 am We had our historically cold February. The easterly gradient, back door cold second half of the month kind of killed our snow chances. I say if we aren’t going to see an impactful snow event, I’m ready to move on too.
Yup,tennis,fishing and golfing right around the corner...and shorts weather for me is between 14°-15°,can't wait!
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by arbetrader »

So YXX recorded only 2 overnight lows that weren't below +0.5C for the entire month of February, and another 3 that were close enough we may as well call it freezing. The rest all recorded below freezing. That must be a record...
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Monty wrote: Thu Feb 28, 2019 11:21 am We had our historically cold February. The easterly gradient, back door cold second half of the month kind of killed our snow chances. I say if we aren’t going to see an impactful snow event, I’m ready to move on too.
Agreed. But it would be kind of funny if we followed up with a historically cold March. Pattern lock! :lol:

I'm not exactly rooting for it, but it's not completely off the table either. I just hope that if we do have to put up with another month of cold, we can get at least one epic snowfall.
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Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Welcome back arbetrader! :thumbup:
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

arbetrader wrote: Thu Feb 28, 2019 11:33 am So YXX recorded only 2 overnight lows that weren't below +0.5C for the entire month of February, and another 3 that were close enough we may as well call it freezing. The rest all recorded below freezing. That must be a record...
Welcome back! :D

Yeah, I'm pretty sure it's a record, but I'll check to confirm.
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Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Abby_wx wrote: Thu Feb 28, 2019 11:35 am Agreed. But it would be kind of funny if we followed up with a historically cold March. Pattern lock! :lol:

I'm not exactly rooting for it, but it's not completely off the table either. I just hope that if we do have to put up with another month of cold, we can get at least one epic snowfall.
I guess we’ll see. Long range ensembles look to try to return us to seasonal. But having said that, the pattern at day 8-9 on the GFS and GEM looks like something we might see prior to a cold snap. If that low pressure in the pacific is held back closer to Hawaii, I wouldn’t be surprised if models trended colder.
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

arbetrader wrote: Thu Feb 28, 2019 11:33 am So YXX recorded only 2 overnight lows that weren't below +0.5C for the entire month of February, and another 3 that were close enough we may as well call it freezing. The rest all recorded below freezing. That must be a record...
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Abby_wx wrote: Thu Feb 28, 2019 11:35 am Agreed. But it would be kind of funny if we followed up with a historically cold March. Pattern lock! :lol:

I'm not exactly rooting for it, but it's not completely off the table either. I just hope that if we do have to put up with another month of cold, we can get at least one epic snowfall.
March 1951? :lol:
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

arbetrader wrote: Thu Feb 28, 2019 11:33 am So YXX recorded only 2 overnight lows that weren't below +0.5C for the entire month of February, and another 3 that were close enough we may as well call it freezing. The rest all recorded below freezing. That must be a record...
Pretty much. It was also the coldest on record by mean temperature.

Top 5 February's for number of days with minimum temperature <0.5C:
1. 2019 (26 days)
2. 1989 (23 days)
3. 1949 (22 days)
3. 1975 (22 days)
5. 1957 (21 days)

If you go by exactly <=0.0C, then 1989 and 2019 are tied at 23 days. However, 1989 has a colder average minimum temperature.

Top 5 February's by lowest average minimum temperature:
1. 1989 (-4.0C)
2. 1949 (-3.7C)
3. 2019 (-3.3C)
4. 1956 (-2.4C)
5. 1957 (-2.3C)

Top 5 February's by lowest mean temperature:
1. 2019 (-0.3C)
2. 1989 (0.3C)
3. 1956 (0.5C)
4. 1949 (0.8C)
5. 1975 (1.5C)
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Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Snow for the island Sunday night?
82BE3D0D-1A78-4F5E-84E1-2FB5FAB9AE3F.png
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: Thu Feb 28, 2019 1:24 pm Snow for the island Sunday night?

82BE3D0D-1A78-4F5E-84E1-2FB5FAB9AE3F.png
Can we move onto spring already. These fringe snowfalls are beyond tiresome now. :thumbdown:
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Feb 28, 2019 1:26 pm Can we move onto spring already. These fringe snowfalls are beyond tiresome now. :thumbdown:
No. Looks like at least another 10 days of suffering for those who are done with this year.
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