January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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John
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Coldest run ever??
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Radar »

Hound wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 12:14 pm Well we get to kick off January 2020 with a current temp of + 11 :roll:
13 in mission deroche.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Radar »

Slytyguy wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 12:20 pm 6 cm of snow showing on the GEM in Chilliwack by 4:00am Friday. Not sold on this, but is interesting to note4EE8C76E-247C-4BCB-9D0A-549532796558.jpeg
The GEM has been very unreliable for snowfall totals. Last year I found the NAM and GFS much better
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Radar »

Slytyguy wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 12:20 pm 6 cm of snow showing on the GEM in Chilliwack by 4:00am Friday. Not sold on this, but is interesting to note4EE8C76E-247C-4BCB-9D0A-549532796558.jpeg
Also the GEM lists high elevations usually. Doesn’t do surface well.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Good news is that models are doing away with the +SST anomalies in the NPAC. There is more jet consolidation in the LR. The same models are tending to over amplify the NPAC ridge in the the extended range over and over. This has been an issue with the EPS and GFS ensembles this entire season.

Progressive is way better than stagnation and increases the % of seeing lowland snow and major storms.

I may have a Jan warm bias but am willing to bet Feb gets really interesting this year once the dust settles.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Radar »

Urban heat island effects.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Radar »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 1:30 pm Nito has fun with the weather just like the rest of us. Lets refrain from saying things like "so and so is always wrong." Thats not nice. :thumbup:
When are weather predictors and models ever consistently right?
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Lisa0527 »

End of the run is not too shabby :team:

I mean, if the thought of 2 feet of snow on the ground is of interest to anyone here....
Last edited by Lisa0527 on Wed Jan 01, 2020 3:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Radar wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 3:03 pm When are weather predictors and models ever consistently right?
When they show endless ridging it seems...
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

And the run ends with just another 3 day snow storm.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

18Z GFS is insane cold. Vodka
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Anybody mind posting the ensembles, thank you kindly :)
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 1:53 pm I wonder if snow wizard on the A forums will learn? :lol: I respect and appreciate his enthusiasm but he seems to actually get upset when people don't agree with him. :roll: :lol:

Screen Shot 2020-01-01 at 1.52.18 PM.png
Ok guys..I know u need to get ur fix. But please...do u all shop at Walmart and Costco whenever u can? Go Canada go? Make us stronger?
:whack: :whack:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Snowed_in wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 4:08 pm Anybody mind posting the ensembles, thank you kindly :)
MT8_Vancouver_Kanada_ens.png
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

a strong N.W wind just kicked up out of nowhere with darkening clouds. Weird
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