December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: ↑Mon Dec 30, 2019 12:25 pm FWIW. The modelled pattern reminds me a bit of December 2012. -PNA, cold Alaska, de amplified Aleutian ridge, warm and fairly ridgy out east. No blocking to the north and we never tapped into the arctic air.
We got a fairly significant snowstorm on December 18-19, 2012. ~15-35cm across the lower mainland from what I remember.

YVR received nearly 20cm on December 19th, 2012. Haven't had a bigger one day snowfall since.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Storm wrote: ↑Mon Dec 30, 2019 2:09 pm 18z better than 12z. Trend?
They look really similar
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1 ... 26625?s=20
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Monty wrote: ↑Mon Dec 30, 2019 2:39 pm They look really similar
:lol:
gfs_T850_nwus_52.png
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Storm wrote: ↑Mon Dec 30, 2019 2:55 pm :lol:
gfs_T850_nwus_52.png
:lol:
The GFS wasn’t out to hr 300+ when you posted that the 18z looked better. Nice try. Gets close in the long range
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Looks like some low snow levels on the weekend.

I really think there will be some surprises next month.

At least it looks to get interesting. Much better than what we’ve had lately.

Ski hills will be very happy if the pattern works out similar to what is being modeled.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

So seeing how the GFS was sort of correct with its “outlier” warm runs, why can’t it be right with its outlier cold runs?

:thumbup: :lol: :lol:
60849151-60D9-4707-AA51-A5C6560BC4C2.jpeg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

3km NAM showing 11-13 C temps Wednesday for YVR and Victoria.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Harooch »

Finally some massive snowfalls forecast for the south coast mountain ranges. We are talking in METERS at this point. :clap:
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

18z got close to good several times after day 10
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Dec 30, 2019 3:04 pm So seeing how the GFS was sort of correct with its “outlier” warm runs, why can’t it be right with its outlier cold runs?

:thumbup: :lol: :lol:

60849151-60D9-4707-AA51-A5C6560BC4C2.jpeg
It just...can't. That's why.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Monty wrote: ↑Mon Dec 30, 2019 3:00 pm :lol:
The GFS wasn’t out to hr 300+ when you posted that the 18z looked better. Nice try. Gets close in the long range
I was thinking more of this.
gfs_T850_nwus_18.png
gfs_T850_nwus_19.png
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Looks a little breezy tomorrow night
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Ooooh. A rainfall warning
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Antares »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Dec 30, 2019 3:04 pm So seeing how the GFS was sort of correct with its “outlier” warm runs, why can’t it be right with its outlier cold runs?

:thumbup: :lol: :lol:

60849151-60D9-4707-AA51-A5C6560BC4C2.jpeg
Because it's programmed to torture cold/snow lovers in this part of the world. :bang: :bang: :bang: :bang: :bang:
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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