The real question is do you go with the EPS given its consistency and excellent performance last February? Or do you remain skeptical?Catnip wrote: ↑Fri Dec 27, 2019 4:23 pm Things start to take shape upstream way before day 10. As it stands, we would start cooling down Thursday night. It’s really not THAT far out. We aren’t talking 300 plus hours here.
Of course it could fall apart the night before, but this isn’t just one model run we are getting slightly excited/talking about.
With the EPS being consistent it does raise the odds of perhaps some exciting weather in our future.
If there is one thing I've learned about weather here over the years it’s to never get excited till the snow is falling from the sky.
I think the EPS is generally favoured among meteorologists. If it is truly on to something, I think we will see other models follow in the coming days. I'm cautiously optimistic that we can at least see some cold and snow in January.
By the way, that EPS is so close to unleashing the arctic on us. With the current tilt, just a little bit more amplification into Alaska would be all we would need. That said, the pattern shown is still cold and would give us low elevation snow chances.