December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Forrest Gump
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Storm wrote: ↑Thu Dec 26, 2019 11:31 am I personally can't care less for big historic cold blasts, only thing you get from that is dry cold, give me -1°-0° C snow any time of the day.

Flurry all morning on the local mountains.
That's the thing I don't quite get , the prairies and back east can get snow at -10 to -20 but here as soon as it hits -6 or colder you can fooogetaboutit.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

The EPS has been consistent.
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Thu Dec 26, 2019 11:56 am The EPS has been consistent.
Yes. No panic.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 26, 2019 11:28 am Not pessimism. No doubt we will see colder departures for Jan with a good ski season but a consolidated PV with no real blocking means no real "arctic" air intrusions. Today is an example of how it can snow without any source of arctic air. This appears to be a pattern we will see until mid-late Jan. Beats Mountain melting death ridging.
Way to early to make such a bold prediction.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

I have been saying this for a couple of days now.
https://twitter.com/ensembleator/status ... 61728?s=19
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Storm wrote: ↑Thu Dec 26, 2019 12:12 pm I have been saying this for a couple of days now.
https://twitter.com/ensembleator/status ... 61728?s=19
I think the sticking snow level ends up around 300ft tonight. Give or take. Should mostly rain here. Snow levels 1000ft or so.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

IMG_20191226_125346.jpg
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

2835080A-94DA-482E-8B0C-FE75F1579403.png
73F0EBF9-91E5-4A5B-A7C3-214DC86CBCA2.png
DA7B2122-A1E8-46C7-8E5C-6513D103F698.png
591BF472-A644-4103-9D28-49F8591EAD9D.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: ↑Thu Dec 26, 2019 1:50 pm 2835080A-94DA-482E-8B0C-FE75F1579403.png
73F0EBF9-91E5-4A5B-A7C3-214DC86CBCA2.png
DA7B2122-A1E8-46C7-8E5C-6513D103F698.png
591BF472-A644-4103-9D28-49F8591EAD9D.png
Not bad but seems like a bit of a step back.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Monty wrote: ↑Thu Dec 26, 2019 2:04 pm Not bad but seems like a bit of a step back.
Just terrible. Winter canceled.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Storm wrote: ↑Thu Dec 26, 2019 2:11 pm Just terrible. Winter canceled.
Haha. Well I mean I don’t put much faith in the weeklies or whatever it is that goes out that far. Just saying. It’ll be small details that set us up for snow. But if amplification, favourable low track, digging short wave. Those things aren’t going to show up on the ensemble. The 12z eps at day 15 still looks pretty favourable.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

:lol: :lol: this guy. Nito what are you willing to sell for this?
https://twitter.com/meatyorologist/stat ... 31040?s=19
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: ↑Thu Dec 26, 2019 2:57 pm :lol: :lol: this guy. Nito what are you willing to sell for this?
https://twitter.com/meatyorologist/stat ... 31040?s=19
Precip overdone. You would see strong NE winds drying out the lower atmosphere halting precip at the border. Monty would get nailed.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 26, 2019 3:13 pm Precip overdone. You would see strong NE winds drying out the lower atmosphere halting precip at the border. Monty would get nailed.
So no worth my finger, I was almost ready to give one up. :mrgreen:
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

18z
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