December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Monty
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Snowed_in wrote: Fri Dec 20, 2019 10:05 am Hour 240?gem_z500a_namer_41.png
That Alaskan vortex is killing any chance we have right now. Suppressing that North Pacific ridge
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Allison pass is showing 83cm since 6pm yesterday. Could be getting close to 1M since snow began there around 3pm yesterday
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Forrest Gump wrote: Fri Dec 20, 2019 12:46 pm More ? The only thing I've seen so far is a few flakes on my shoulders when wearing a black shirt.
That's about as much snow as I've seen, too. But not to worry — odds are high we'll see more.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

All just seems right with the world today. It's raining a lot in the lowlands and the mountains are getting buried in snow. As things should be. It's December.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Dec 20, 2019 11:55 am Conditions are ripe for 2-4CM of snow for higher areas (above 200m) of Eastern Vancouver Island tonight into tomorrow morning.
Did you mean Sunday morning. 925mb temps are forecast to be above freezing tonight
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Winter_forecast_precipitation_map.jpeg
Winter_forecast_temperature_map.jpeg
December has been a changeable month across Canada. Most of Canada has experienced periods of high impact winter weather, but that has been followed by periods of milder weather as we have not yet locked into our winter pattern.

However, this is consistent with our winter forecast that we issued on November 17th and we believe that we are still on track with our winter forecast, which calls for a long and cold winter across most of Canada. Near normal or below normal temperatures are expected for most of the country. The only regions where temperatures are expected to tip to the mild side of normal are near the Atlantic and Pacific coastlines

BRITISH COLUMBIA
Overall, a mild winter is expected along the B.C. coast and across much of northern B.C., while near normal temperatures are expected from northeastern B.C. to the southern interior. The north coast region is expected to see above average rainfall and alpine snow. For southern coastal areas, we expect fewer than normal rainy days. However, similar to what we have seen during December, the dry pattern will break down at times with the potential to see several week’s worth of precipitation in just 5 to 10 days. This should help the final precipitation totals approach seasonal.

While a mild and dry forecast is not what skiers want to hear, there are reasons to remain optimistic about the ski season. We expect that the periods of active weather will coincide with the periods of cooler weather, allowing ski areas to pick-up substantial snowfall at times, much like we have seen during this past week. Also, we do not expect the “Pineapple Express” to be a regular feature of the winter, which will help to limit the threat for excessive rain in the alpine regions.

Meanwhile, near normal to above normal snowfall and near normal temperatures are expected for the central and southern Rockies.

https://www.theweathernetwork.com/ca/ne ... or-january
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Monty wrote: Fri Dec 20, 2019 1:46 pm Did you mean Sunday morning. 925mb temps are forecast to be above freezing tonight
Meant Saturday into Sunday. Lots of cold core convection behind the front tomorrow.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

That vortex over Alaska just doesn’t allow any amplification at all over the North Pacific. :(
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

However, for what it is worth, the 12Z GFS did show some snow.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Bonovox wrote: Fri Dec 20, 2019 2:38 pm However, for what it is worth, the 12Z GFS did show some snow.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Bonovox wrote: Fri Dec 20, 2019 2:38 pm
All gone on the 18z, but it looks like there could be some flurries around on Wednesday morning.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Sonnblick Observatory sits perched on a frigid summit in the Austrian Alps, 10,000 feet above sea level. It is one of the highest weather stations in Europe where meteorologists still live on the premises.
Good read , I've placed the article in the climate change thread.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Dec 20, 2019 2:40 pm All gone on the 18z, but it looks like there could be some flurries around on Wednesday morning.
Yup. Oh well. Maybe January after all....
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Monty wrote: Fri Dec 20, 2019 8:05 am You did not overpost. All weather info today :clap:

My uncle used to drive truck. He hated the Coquihalla and would just take the canyon whenever he could.
My dad is a truck driver and hates the coquihalla as well, Some of the stories you would hear in the winter time is insane... He always calls me when he's about to leave to get a update on the weather till this day.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Dec 20, 2019 2:22 pm Meant Saturday into Sunday. Lots of cold core convection behind the front tomorrow.
I could buy into that for areas north of Nanaimo or so
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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