December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

[stuffradio]

I said that and my post got deleted...

And my three post about Greta we’re “not on topic”

It was because of how you phrased your post that I deleted it.

[Antares]

GEM and GFS have gone milder next week following the ECMWF last night.

The ECMWF is usually more realistic than the GFS and especially the GEM.

[stuffradio]

The ECMWF is usually more realistic than the GFS and especially the GEM.

GEPS isn't terrible though.

[wetcoast91]

The ECMWF is usually more realistic than the GFS and especially the GEM.

Models are overdoing pattern changes and cold troughs big time. Anything showing any pattern change should be taken with a grain of salt.

500mb ECMWF has been steady in showing patterns but finer details are making a big difference.

The overall global pattern is "stuck." I keep saying we need a big +ENSO event to bring change. Maybe 2020/21?

[Canada Goose]

Almost 35cm in Seymour!

[Michael1]

Models are overdoing pattern changes and cold troughs big time. Anything showing any pattern change should be taken with a grain of salt.

500mb ECMWF has been steady in showing patterns but finer details are making a big difference.

The overall global pattern is "stuck." I keep saying we need a big +ENSO event to bring change. Maybe 2020/21?

You're like an evil Santa who breaks our toys before we even un wrap them...

[Monty]

Models are overdoing pattern changes and cold troughs big time. Anything showing any pattern change should be taken with a grain of salt.

500mb ECMWF has been steady in showing patterns but finer details are making a big difference.

The overall global pattern is "stuck." I keep saying we need a big +ENSO event to bring change. Maybe 2020/21?

A year or so ago I figured this was going to be our year for a stronger El Niño. Clearly that didn’t happen. But why would a big +ENSO event be more beneficial to bring change than would a strong -ENSO event.

[Storm]

https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... 56736?s=19

[Michael1]

A year or so ago I figured this was going to be our year for a stronger El Niño. Clearly that didn’t happen. But why would a big +ENSO event be more beneficial to bring change than would a strong -ENSO event.

all indications are looking at a weak La Nina or a cool neutral for next year. It's odd with such a deep solar minimum:

20191210.sstOutlooks_nino34.png

[AbbyJr]

Stupid split flow.

[stuffradio]

The latest steamy outlook, hot off the press!

off14_temp.png

off14_prcp.png

off01_temp.png

off01_prcp.png

[wetcoast91]

I think it's raining.

[Abby_wx]

https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... 56736?s=19

Hill event only is my guess... though it would be a nice surprise if we could all score something.

[Canada Goose]

mgram_Vancouver.png

[Storm]

I think it's raining.

I think it's snowing.

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