January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Holy Hannah EL Nito the 06Z GoFartS was absolutely insane. :o
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The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

A I Canada says dry right through next Wednesday unreal no active weather for who knows how long most of February perhaps. :sick: l hate it. :x
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png



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20250123143003-82a42b0f6202dc6b4d8b1c6f69415842a4412871.png
20250123142947-d073ce345c2213e0ea918506e25baa67fb1e42f5.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

The models are struggling. They keep flipping and flopping when there's a pattern shift. But it looks pretty solid we're getting some chilly and wet weather upcoming. We're overdue for a pattern shift into snow :hearteyes:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock with #patternshift mid month :D
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Low of -3c in east Coquitlam.
:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Pattern looks too progressive. Maybe a quick hit of slush and then back to your usual mild rain.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Jan 23, 2025 8:02 am Pattern looks too progressive. Maybe a quick hit of slush and then back to your usual mild rain.
GFS has pretty decent snow event next weekend. Only 9 days out.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: Thu Jan 23, 2025 8:39 am GFS has pretty decent snow event next weekend. Only 9 days out.
There's so much spread in the ensembles so everything is on the table. If you want cold and snow then the trend of bringing cold air to the Yukon and Alaksa is a good first step. This would lead to your classic warm rain pattern abruptly shifting into cold maritime polar/arctic blast pattern.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Jan 23, 2025 8:56 am There's so much spread in the ensembles so everything is on the table. If you want cold and snow then the trend of bringing cold air to the Yukon and Alaksa is a good first step. This would lead to your classic warm rain pattern abruptly shifting into cold maritime polar/arctic blast pattern.
:thumbup:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

:lol:
gfs_T850_nwus_53.png
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Min of -2.5˚C here.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

The climate change discussion is getting heated again.

Please continue the discussion in the appropriate thread.

Thanks!

:wave: :thumbup:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Jan 23, 2025 8:56 am There's so much spread in the ensembles so everything is on the table. If you want cold and snow then the trend of bringing cold air to the Yukon and Alaksa is a good first step. This would lead to your classic warm rain pattern abruptly shifting into cold maritime polar/arctic blast pattern.
Seems like this would be our last chance for something decent. Snow in March doesn't really do it for me.

Really hoping the timing moves up and stops getting pushed back.

I'm intrigued by the cold onshore flow pattern being modeled by the GFS. Those can bring some surprises and dump quite a bit of snow in spots. The big winner would be the mountains of course. :thumbup:

:wish:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Catnip wrote: Thu Jan 23, 2025 9:27 am Seems like this would be our last chance for something decent. Snow in March doesn't really do it for me.

Really hoping the timing moves up and stops getting pushed back.

I'm intrigued by the cold onshore flow pattern being modeled by the GFS. Those can bring some surprises and dump quite a bit of snow in spots. The big winner would be the mountains of course. :thumbup:

:wish:
February has been our jackpot the last few years. Why stop that trend now? ;)
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

ecmwf-deterministic-or_wa-total_snow_kuchera-8929600.png
gfs-deterministic-or_wa-total_snow_kuchera-8929600.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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