January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Catnip
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 8:55 pm GFS will be right. I am cancelling winter for the 94th time this month. :flakey: :cancel: :cancel: :cancel:
Always a chance it could be.

Your friends down south would be devastated.

I'm hoping Team Canada is sniffing out the right pattern on this one though.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 8:46 pm Lots of high latitude blocking on the 00Z GEM tonight :clap: :wave: :14clown:


gem-all-nhemi-z500_anom-7849600.png
Too much over the water trajectory Jr. Man slushy snowfalls at best. :D
The 7th annual snowfall contest is about to begin stay tuned

:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :flakey:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :flakey:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 9:17 pm Too much over the water trajectory Jr. Man slushy snowfalls at best. :D
It's either too much over the water trajectory leading to slush or not enough over the water trajectory leading to a dry arctic blast. :bang:
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 9:25 pm It's either too much over the water trajectory leading to slush or not enough over the water trajectory leading to a dry arctic blast. :bang:
Keep the hope up Jr. Man :clap: :thumbup: it's weird not having a Wpro sighting this winter. :(
The 7th annual snowfall contest is about to begin stay tuned

:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :flakey:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :flakey:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Awesome seeing Granddaddyp2233 in the house :wave: so there's always a chance of winter still, a Canuckles win l"m not sure anymore. :14popcorn:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is about to begin stay tuned

:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :flakey:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :flakey:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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wetcoast91
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 9:14 pm Always a chance it could be.

Your friends down south would be devastated.

I'm hoping Team Canada is sniffing out the right pattern on this one though.
Euro took major steps towards a GFS solution. GEM is now on it's own.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Hawk wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 9:00 pm T3..those streamers coming off the Bay are some of the most epic snow events imo. Always troffy and unexpected heavy snow at times :thumbup:
Agreed! In extreme past cases, we've gotten upwards of 20-30cm of snow just stemming from that setup.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png



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20250116142237-89bf77e6cce4c1aeb7ef3a6afaa13edf843dc780.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Hawk
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 10:06 pm Agreed! In extreme past cases, we've gotten upwards of 20-30cm of snow just stemming from that setup.
Yesssss. All because of my fave friend...the winter Troff :clap:
#patternshift mid Jan leads to :flakey: :flakey: #beginningofFeb...again.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

06GFS says enjoy the ridgey, snowless January :tiredos:
#patternshift mid Jan leads to :flakey: :flakey: #beginningofFeb...again.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Is the next few days going to be the extent of our "Arctic" air this season? For Abby, Highs around +3c and L around -4c :roll: :roll:
#patternshift mid Jan leads to :flakey: :flakey: #beginningofFeb...again.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Side door brush only of our elusive arctic air!! :roll: :roll:
#patternshift mid Jan leads to :flakey: :flakey: #beginningofFeb...again.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

..meanwhile in the Similkameeeens this week..

https://weather.gc.ca/en/location/index ... 2,-120.514
#patternshift mid Jan leads to :flakey: :flakey: #beginningofFeb...again.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 9:17 pm Too much over the water trajectory Jr. Man slushy snowfalls at best. :D
We have much bigger issues than that, unfortunately. The whole pattern keeps shifting when it gets within range. We're in that winter, the one that hopefully shall not be spoken of again.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 9:31 pm Keep the hope up Jr. Man :clap: :thumbup: it's weird not having a Wpro sighting this winter. :(
In my experience he only tends to show up when we have a real chance of scoring something. So far this winter, we haven’t.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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