January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hawk
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Its pretty apparent that we are in the midst of a #patternshift. Where it goes in the mid to long range, who knows. But chances are we will be getting something different than pineapples. Enuf is enuf!!

My guess is chilly NW flow leading to snow chances towards the end of this month/start of Feb, as well as a good ol Snowfestival and cold temps, before or after.

When theres a future, there is always hope buttees :tiredos: :tiredos:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock with #patternshift mid month :D
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

PortKells wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 8:18 am Americans reacting to how their national "model" performs is a microcosm for how delusional they are in general. I wouldn't be surprised to hear on the news that some dude shot his computer after another wayward GFS run.
:lol: All that just for maybe a day of snow is truly mentally insane to me. They treat it like life or death. How things never change on the AF.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Jan 14, 2025 10:28 pm That's true Weedmonster that's why l step back from model riding for my health :sick: it's not fun during times like this.
Makes sense !
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

stuffradio wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 9:39 am I used to have that level of emotional investment, then I had a wife and kids... :D
The important things in life :thumbup: :hearteyes:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 9:05 am It's ridiculous how emotionally invested they get with maps showing potential scenarios 10+ days out. Every 4-6 hours with some of them staying awake overnight.

Best to assume we are going to see climo prevail and enjoy the sunshine before wet and seasonal weather returns.
Honestly, I think I remember one year we were six days out from a potential blast, and I believe it may have been Rob. He said he stayed up for 23 hours model-riding, and his family was getting angry with him and his health was suffering.

Like, what?
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

ecmwf-ensemble-CYVR-indiv_snow-6942400.png
ecmwf-ensemble-CYVR-indiv_tmp-6942400.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-8238400.png
ecmwf-ensemble-avg-or_wa-total_snow_10to1-8238400.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

It's nice to see the EPS being the most bullish on the cold. The GEFS is the obvious outlier. :clap: :wave:

ecmwf-ensemble-CYXX-indiv_tmp-6942400.png
cmc-ensemble-all-CYXX-indiv_tmp-6942400.png
gfs-ensemble-all-CYXX-indiv_tmp-6942400.png
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Pleasant afternoon.

:sunshine: and currently +8.5c

:thumbup:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 1:30 pm Pleasant afternoon.

:sunshine: and currently +8.5c

:thumbup:
+10C in some spots

:dancepine: :dance: :dancepine:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 1:36 pm +10C in some spots

:dancepine: :dance: :dancepine:
Its like Feb already!! :shh:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock with #patternshift mid month :D
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Hawk wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 1:47 pm Its like Feb already!! :shh:
I saw veggie seeds in Walmart today.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

The Chickadees have been singing their spring mating song the last few days. VERY odd! :?
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Image

:dancepine: :dancepine: :dancepine: :dancepine: :dancepine: :dancepine: :dancepine: :dancepine:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 2:40 pm Image

:dancepine: :dancepine: :dancepine: :dancepine: :dancepine: :dancepine: :dancepine: :dancepine:
Haha. Yanks.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 1:36 pm +10C in some spots

:dancepine: :dance: :dancepine:
Yeah... I reached 9.6C after a low of +0.3C

Yesterday was 8.0C/+0.2C

I'm learning that living on a hillside isn't great for getting cold nights (I kind of knew that before, but it's not the same as experiencing it). Most of our cold weather is inversionary, so the lower the better (or move up to 3000 feet).
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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