January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Hawk wrote: Fri Jan 10, 2025 6:30 am You know its a really crappy winter when...
Monty's Ridge, HawksHill and Catnip Hill have a combined season snowfall of <5cm on January 15 :cry: :cry: and also :lol: :lol:
#bringonMay2025
That’s what I like about this forum… instead of getting mean and bitter about a mild winter, folks here laugh about it.

It’s gonna be mild (or not) whether you laugh about it (or not), after all. And, who knows, maybe February will deliver again.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Definitely trending towards a back door set up. Not sure that would get us any precip but some frozen ponds.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

The ensemble trend is favourable. No tilt is a problem but it’s definitely looked a lot worse.
D7840B83-119C-4839-A3FC-7A65E296F0AD.png
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Fri Jan 10, 2025 7:11 am That’s what I like about this forum… instead of getting mean and bitter about a mild winter, folks here laugh about it.

It’s gonna be mild (or not) whether you laugh about it (or not), after all. And, who knows, maybe February will deliver again.
Gotta laugh about it Rubes. At the end of the day it’s out of our control! Much more important things to be bitter about in life. :mrgreen:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

PortKells wrote: Fri Jan 10, 2025 9:17 am Definitely trending towards a back door set up. Not sure that would get us any precip but some frozen ponds.
Anything is better than this damn %#$& drizzle!!!!!!!!

:evil: :evil: :evil:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

IMG_2977.jpeg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: Fri Jan 10, 2025 9:17 am Definitely trending towards a back door set up. Not sure that would get us any precip but some frozen ponds.
It may be super dry but this does bode very well for February if you want cold and snow.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Jan 10, 2025 9:50 am It may be super dry but this does bode very well for February if you want cold and snow.
Hints of retrogression (again) on the ensembles as we head into Feb.

I’d brush it off… but it is #FEB.

:shrug:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Of course the euro craps all over it. :lol:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Remember, folks: a snowier, wetter and slightly colder than average winter was forecasted... 100% wrong. :14clown:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Canada Goose wrote: Fri Jan 10, 2025 10:08 am Remember, folks: a snowier, wetter and slightly colder than average winter was forecasted... 100% wrong. :14clown:
That’s forecasted nearly every year that’s not an El Niño. We need to start ignoring seasonal forecasts a long time ago.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

PortKells wrote: Fri Jan 10, 2025 10:13 am That’s forecasted nearly every year that’s not an El Niño. We need to start ignoring seasonal forecasts a long time ago.
I ignore them all the time.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

One thing is sure...we are going to be in an incredible dry stretch after today. Maybe some drizzle Sunday but all models are showing a very dry signal the rest of the month.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Pumpkin Seed »

Canada Goose wrote: Fri Jan 10, 2025 10:08 am Remember, folks: a snowier, wetter and slightly colder than average winter was forecasted... 100% wrong. :14clown:
Exactly. Although I tried to be rational and ignore it, this kind of seasonal forecast still got me a bit excited, to be honest. And see what we are getting so far, not even a single snowflake in the air, let alone any accumulation on the ground. This winter is just a joke.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

It has been a crappy winter thus far, however a couple good things right now.

1) ensembles are showing some possibilities as head toward FEB. Perhaps some dry/cool weather as we get brushed by the arctic airmass to our East, and then things shift west and we turn colder.

2) #FEB has a decent track record of delivering some winter weather. We have #climo on our side!

OR maybe we’ll get more &@#% drizzle.

:shrug:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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