January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

[Catnip]

Some 2m temp maps.

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[Catnip]

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[PortKells]

Weeklies just came out. Still going with the similar idea it has had for a while.

Some encouraging signs today with more models starting to come onboard with the idea of an increased chance that we at least trend cooler toward the end of the month... and perhaps finally break out of this stupid #patternlock.

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Well I’ll be.

[PortKells]

Some 2m temp maps.

20-25t.png
25-30t.png
30-35t.png

Looking more promising than previously vague hints at a cold snap. I’m on board…hurt me weather gods, I can take it.

[Hawk]

Happy new year everyone!

Who else was getting flurries this morning? Had a nice flurry for about 20 minutes at my place. Too warm to stick though. Still, nice to see

Nice! The way this winter has gone so far, this was a huge score

[SouthSardiswx]

Light wet snow falling at the pond in south Sardis and 1.7c. What was that E L Neetz about the threat of snow is gone.

[PortKells]

Only 17.75 - 24 days away!

cfs-daily-all-avg-namer-t850_anom_7day-7936000.png

[PortKells]

Hello there

cfs-daily-all-c00-namer-t850_anom_7day-7849600.png

[PortKells]

Cat! Let's go!

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[Pumpkin Seed]

Light wet snow falling at the pond in south Sardis and 1.7c. What was that E L Neetz about the threat of snow is gone.

Finally!

[Wintergirl]

Been snowing most of day here, just sticking a bit now...I will take it

[SouthSardiswx]

Been snowing most of day here, just sticking a bit now...I will take it

No response from Mr. Pineapple when he say's no snow.

[PortKells]

Not perfect but good trends

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[AbbyJr]

Based on the latest model trends, I think the odds of an arctic blast in SWBC/PNW in late January are pretty good. Still a long ways to go but the EPS continues to trend in the right direction. Scandinavia ridge shifting into a -NAO bridging with an amplifying -PNA. That's a strong signal.

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-7115200.png

[Catnip]

Not perfect but good trends

1F2C21BE-DC7D-402B-836D-220F6998009B.png

Nice to see that the OPs are now following a similar idea to what the long range Ensembles have been showing. We are now in the time frame where we can watch both OPs and short term ensembles for the possible pattern change.

Long way to go still though, but as of today the signs are positive.