December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Flakey
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Flakey »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Thu Dec 26, 2024 1:18 am :lol: Can't even tell how much snow has fallen @ Seymour :wtf: l thought Cypress had a live snow ruler cam l couldn't find it on their web site.
Screenshot_20241226_011032_Google.jpg
Good to see the hills getting hit. Hopefully if we can't get white at lower levels the FL stay low. All the best to all over the holidays.
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Two-day rainfall total of 54.1mm so far in east Coquitlam.
:typing: :type3:
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Dec 26, 2024 8:56 am The 12Z GEM wants to flood the Fraser Valley late next week. Likely way overdone but it's definitely a very wet run. :shock: :shock: :shock:


gem-all-vancouverski-precip_48hr_mm-5916400.png

gem-all-vancouverski-precip_120hr_mm-5916400.png
Oh no..
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Halifax special for Jr on the clown range GFS.
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Dec 26, 2024 8:56 am The 12Z GEM wants to flood the Fraser Valley late next week. Likely way overdone but it's definitely a very wet run. :shock: :shock: :shock:


gem-all-vancouverski-precip_48hr_mm-5916400.png

gem-all-vancouverski-precip_120hr_mm-5916400.png
That'll keep us rolling into January with the 1967 and 2006 analogues.
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Late Jan :drunk:
gfs-ensemble-extended-all-avg-namer-t850_anom-7849600.png
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: Thu Dec 26, 2024 11:22 am Late Jan :drunk:

gfs-ensemble-extended-all-avg-namer-t850_anom-7849600.pngecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-t850_anom-8022400.png
The long range forecasts will keep showing a typical -ENSO pattern. Probably not worth putting any stock in them this season.
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Dec 26, 2024 12:11 pm The long range forecasts will keep showing a typical -ENSO pattern. Probably not worth putting any stock in them this season.
I've found the weeklies to have some reliability in the past. I'm putting like 40% stock in them. Keep the morale up at least?
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Dec 26, 2024 10:42 am Two-day rainfall total of 54.1mm so far in east Coquitlam.
42.2 mm in Mission. That pushed me over 2000 mm for the year.
:dragon:

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Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Current rain stats IMBY: 29.7 mm since midnight, 61.7 mm storm total, 260.9 mm for the month, 1886.0 mm for the year.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Abby_wx wrote: Thu Dec 26, 2024 2:59 pm 42.2 mm in Mission. That pushed me over 2000 mm for the year.
Not bad Abby Sr. I always enjoyed Mission for the deluge we use to get.
Chilliwack except for the occasional Arctic fart outflow and over performing snowfalls we rarely get it's quite lame out here. :sick: However Jr. Man claims the Sumas lake may appear next week. :lol:
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

2725.2 mm for Coquitlam Burke Mountain.
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Canada Goose wrote: Thu Dec 26, 2024 5:49 pm 2725.2 mm for Coquitlam Burke Mountain.
Sounds like the rain guage funnel is tilted to receive run off from the mountain. :wtf: :lol:
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: Thu Dec 26, 2024 12:16 pm I've found the weeklies to have some reliability in the past. I'm putting like 40% stock in them. Keep the morale up at least?
I had high hopes for an extended ridgy period but this has been dashed.

January went from looking ridgy to now looking again mild and potentially very wet. It's time to accept the fact that the aleutian low is not going anywhere over the next few months.
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Dec 26, 2024 10:34 pm I had high hopes for an extended ridgy period but this has been dashed.

January went from looking ridgy to now looking again mild and potentially very wet. It's time to accept the fact that the aleutian low is not going anywhere over the next few months.
Sure El Grincho whatever you say. :x
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