December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12660
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22038 times
Been thanked: 24414 times

Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: Tue Dec 24, 2024 7:51 pm #beginningofFEB

1.png
How does the #EndOfJan look? :wave:
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19526
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53190 times
Been thanked: 16686 times

Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Catnip wrote: Tue Dec 24, 2024 7:51 pm #beginningofFEB

1.png
The interest usually wanes by then actually mid Jan on around these parts is the beginning of the end of winter. :x Pineapples start blooming. 😋 mosquitoes 🦟 start appearing
Knuckles out of the playoffs by then.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19526
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53190 times
Been thanked: 16686 times

Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Santa's heading north into North American air space soon Biden would probably have him shot down. :lol:
Screenshot_20241224_205654_Chrome.jpg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19526
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53190 times
Been thanked: 16686 times

Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Hope everyone was tucked in bed 🛌 he was here. :clap:
Screenshot_20241225_001850_Chrome.jpg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
stuffradio
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 2418
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:07 pm
Location: Maple Ridge
Has thanked: 3759 times
Been thanked: 5909 times
Contact:

Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Merry balmy Christmas everyone!
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6606
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 557 times
Been thanked: 11447 times

Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Merry Christmas everyone!
Here’s your lump of coal:
8A08A3C8-891A-4BAA-A5B8-A3DDCDA9D7F4.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6161
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6129 times
Been thanked: 14051 times

Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: Wed Dec 25, 2024 9:45 am Merry Christmas everyone!
Here’s your lump of coal:

8A08A3C8-891A-4BAA-A5B8-A3DDCDA9D7F4.png
We were due for a snowless NDJ period. Better luck in 2025-26.
Merry Christmas!
Not a fan of the shift on this EPS run. A lot more westerly momentum at the critical latitudes. Not a pattern that would retrograde easily or quickly.

End result looks like a reincarnation of 1980/81. Same problems all winter rolled forward into at least mid-January.
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19526
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53190 times
Been thanked: 16686 times

Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

PortKells wrote: Wed Dec 25, 2024 9:45 am Merry Christmas everyone!
Here’s your lump of coal:

8A08A3C8-891A-4BAA-A5B8-A3DDCDA9D7F4.png
Like National Lampoon's Christmas Vacation and The Grinch that sole Christmas rolled into one.
So who's got the windstorm? Merry Christmas forum weather weenie friends. :wave:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19526
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53190 times
Been thanked: 16686 times

Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Here comes our lump of coal :x l expect January to just be boring but by the end of January higher sun angles small signs of spring very few frosty mornings, such a disappointing result after all the hype l'm glad l never jumped on board.
Even the east isn't really seeing a huge snowy cold spell just moderate but at least they've had some winter oh well next winter l guess.
Screenshot_20241225_114859_RadarScope.jpg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12660
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22038 times
Been thanked: 24414 times

Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Merry Christmas!

Looks like it's snowing on Hwy 4 between Port Alberni and Tofino.
1066.jpg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
Bc_trucker
Weather Tracker
Weather Tracker
Posts: 204
Joined: Sun Oct 06, 2019 10:54 pm
Location: Chilliwack
Elevation: 15 M.
Has thanked: 649 times
Been thanked: 793 times

Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bc_trucker »

Anybody seeing some winds yet? Pretty quiet in The Wack at the moment....

Merry Christmas to all!
East Chilliwack/Rosedale 15m
User avatar
Abby_wx
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 1512
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Mission City
Elevation: 157m (515ft)
Has thanked: 6909 times
Been thanked: 3934 times

Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Bc_trucker wrote: Wed Dec 25, 2024 12:32 pm Anybody seeing some winds yet? Pretty quiet in The Wack at the moment....

Merry Christmas to all!
Calm winds here in Mission. The valley is not included in the rain and wind warnings. Tomorrow looks a lot stormier though.

Merry Christmas everyone!
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6606
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 557 times
Been thanked: 11447 times

Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Maybe on the good news front we can finally ditch analogues and seasonal forecasts for good?
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6161
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6129 times
Been thanked: 14051 times

Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: Wed Dec 25, 2024 1:13 pm Maybe on the good news front we can finally ditch analogues and seasonal forecasts for good?
Most of us take no stock in long-range forecasting unless it's showing an continuation of the Aleutian Low and +PNA ridge.

Odds are favorable for a colder than normal February due to the very weak -ENSO state but the later than usual plunge could translate into a colder spring instead.

Analogues are 100% useless and should forever stop being used.
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12660
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22038 times
Been thanked: 24414 times

Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: Wed Dec 25, 2024 1:13 pm Maybe on the good news front we can finally ditch analogues and seasonal forecasts for good?
2005-06 and 1966-67 were among the top analogues for this winter, and they have been bang on for our region so far.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
Post Reply