December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (6).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (7).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (8).png



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20241220145013-447b0cfc979e2281c821a84944615ac45d75be11.png
20241220144959-1aca2a528c209d0842dcceb49ba6fcba7443fe44.png
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

06GFS says keep an eye on that Low sliding in from the NW ~Jan 2. It could be a snowmaker. Only 13 days away!! :14clown: :14clown:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

I need a few dry days so I can mow my lawn. The grass is still growing! :o
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

12z GFS slides most of the cold air :arrow: :arrow: in early January :silent:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

The Weather Network is on #TeamFeb for Winter here. https://www.theweathernetwork.com/en/ne ... by-january
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Hawk wrote: Fri Dec 20, 2024 9:40 am 12z GFS slides most of the cold air :arrow: :arrow: in early January :silent:
Euro is similar except heigher heights over the West Coast. Looks like we are going back into a ridgy cycle again to start off Jan.

It's incredibly hard to shake off this pattern.
stuffradio wrote: Fri Dec 20, 2024 10:57 am The Weather Network is on #TeamFeb for Winter here. https://www.theweathernetwork.com/en/ne ... by-january
Far from a sure bet though.
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Not sure if this is decent or mediocre.
AA766D14-02A2-4E81-BF74-E3F6DDB0930D.png
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

PortKells wrote: Fri Dec 20, 2024 11:12 am Not sure if this is decent or mediocre.

AA766D14-02A2-4E81-BF74-E3F6DDB0930D.png
Decently mediocre.
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: Fri Dec 20, 2024 11:12 am Not sure if this is decent or mediocre.

AA766D14-02A2-4E81-BF74-E3F6DDB0930D.png
Still too much energy in the Pacific. That ridge will only amplify over the West Coast.
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Want snow? I guess we all need to move to Halifax. :arrow: :arrow: :arrow:
3:41 PM AST Friday 20 December 2024

Snowfall Warning in effect for:
Halifax Metro and Halifax County West
Total snowfall: 20 to 30 cm.

Locations: Atlantic coast counties and eastern Nova Scotia.

Time span: This evening and persisting into Saturday afternoon.

Remarks: The snow will change to ice pellets or rain Saturday morning for eastern areas of the province, reducing snowfall amounts.

Gusty northeast then northwest winds accompanying the snow may cause reduced visibility at times in blowing snow.

Surfaces such as highways, roads, walkways and parking lots may become difficult to navigate due to accumulating snow.

Snowfall warnings are issued when significant snowfall is expected.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to NSstorm@ec.gc.ca or tweet reports using #NSStorm.
Last edited by AbbyJr on Fri Dec 20, 2024 1:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: Fri Dec 20, 2024 11:12 am Not sure if this is decent or mediocre.

AA766D14-02A2-4E81-BF74-E3F6DDB0930D.png
Ridge will retrograde in late Jan for a chance at some real cold.

Early-mid Jan will be relatively dry and seasonal/cool.
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Dec 20, 2024 1:18 pm Ridge will retrograde in late Jan for a chance at some real cold.

Early-mid Jan will be relatively dry and seasonal/cool.
Agreed. The second half of January has legit potential for an arctic blast in the PNW if the pattern successfully retrogrades. :thumbup: :wave:
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

The GFS continues to try and expedite the potential retrogression next month. But I still think it's rushing it. Best chance is the second half of January.

gfs-deterministic-nhemi-z500_anom-6100000.png
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

I want to go back to the 50's and 60's...

#January 1950
#March 1951
#January 1954
#December 1956
#January 1957
#October 1962
#December 1964
#December 1965
#January 1966
#December 1968
#January 1969

In my opinion, all those analogs produced more extreme and fun winter events than anything the 2000's have so far. :x :bang:
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri Dec 20, 2024 4:30 pm I want to go back to the 50's and 60's...

#January 1950
#March 1951
#January 1954
#December 1956
#January 1957
#October 1962
#December 1964
#December 1965
#January 1966
#December 1968
#January 1969

In my opinion, all those analogs produced more extreme and fun winter events than anything the 2000's have so far. :x :bang:
December 1951, January 1952, February 1956 and March 1962 were good as well.
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