December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

:alert:
3:24 PM PST Monday 16 December 2024
Rainfall Warning in effect for:

Metro Vancouver - central including the City of Vancouver Burnaby and New Westminster

Rain, at times heavy, is expected.

What:
50 to 70 mm of rain.

When:
Tuesday near noon to early Wednesday morning.

Where:
Metro Vancouver, west and central Fraser Valley and Howe Sound.

Additional information:
A moisture-laden Pacific frontal system will bring rain to the South Coast. The rain, at times heavy, will begin Tuesday near noon and will ease on Wednesday morning as the frontal system departs.

High flows and localized flooding are possible, particularly at lower elevations and in areas with poor drainage.

Heavy downpours can cause flash floods and water pooling on roads.

If visibility is reduced while driving, turn on your lights and maintain a safe following distance.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to BCstorm@ec.gc.ca or tweet reports using #BCStorm.
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

These are how the two analogue winters I've mentioned a few times looked at YVR.

Average high/Average low/total rainfall/total snowfall

November 1966: 9.6c/3.5c/170.1mm/trace
December 1966: 8.2c/3.5c/237.1mm/6.5cm
January 1967: 7.0c/2.1c/218.7mm/9.4cm
February 1967: 8.5c/1.7c/88.4mm/2.5cm
March 1967: 8.8c/1.5c/97.6mm/2.6cm

November 2005: 8.0c/3.3c/130.6mm/6.0cm
December 2005: 7.4c/1.7c/157.4mm/3.4cm
January 2006: 8.6c/4.0c/283.6mm/0cm
February 2006: 7.8c/0.7c/57.0mm/trace
March 2006: 10.3c/2.7c/86.0mm/6.4cm
:typing: :type3:
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

:think: :think:
Image
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by John »

Monty wrote: Mon Dec 16, 2024 10:03 am Snowed for a couple hours here this morning. Models actually did okay really. They have been hinting at this chance for many days now.

IMG_8994.jpeg
Thanks for returning!!!
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Dec 16, 2024 8:51 pm :think: :think:
Image
Pretty meh but we'd take it at this point. I suspect it's an outlier and we torch... right up until our historic January 1-Feb 30 cold snap.
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

:think:
0C910FBD-78CF-40A7-972E-315001B7279E.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

Catnip wrote: Mon Dec 16, 2024 9:27 pm :think:

0C910FBD-78CF-40A7-972E-315001B7279E.png
We'll have to keep an eye on this one. Last Christmas, we had a wind warning. The power went out just as I pulled the turkey out of the oven.
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

John wrote: Mon Dec 16, 2024 9:21 pm Thanks for returning!!!
I don’t know why but the site would just constantly log me out so I’d have to sign back in like every 5 minutes and it just got annoying to use. Hopefully it doesn’t do that anymore.
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: Mon Dec 16, 2024 9:27 pm :think:

0C910FBD-78CF-40A7-972E-315001B7279E.png
I think odds are high we see at least one windstorm over the next 10 days.

Starting to see signs of the jet stream retracting towards the new year. Ridge probably incoming and we wait for retrogression sometime in January :wish:
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: Mon Dec 16, 2024 10:45 pm I think odds are high we see at least one windstorm over the next 10 days.

Starting to see signs of the jet stream retracting towards the new year. Ridge probably incoming and we wait for retrogression sometime in January :wish:
Too bad we'll be going through yet another year without a cold January. 1993 gets further and further back in the rearview mirror.
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Dec 16, 2024 11:25 pm Too bad we'll be going through yet another year without a cold January. 1993 gets further and further back in the rearview mirror.
Yea. We’ve seen some okay January events but they seem to be surrounded by warmth. I don’t see this January being any different.
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Dec 16, 2024 5:46 pm These are how the two analogue winters I've mentioned a few times looked at YVR.

Average high/Average low/total rainfall/total snowfall

November 1966: 9.6c/3.5c/170.1mm/trace
December 1966: 8.2c/3.5c/237.1mm/6.5cm
January 1967: 7.0c/2.1c/218.7mm/9.4cm
February 1967: 8.5c/1.7c/88.4mm/2.5cm
March 1967: 8.8c/1.5c/97.6mm/2.6cm

November 2005: 8.0c/3.3c/130.6mm/6.0cm
December 2005: 7.4c/1.7c/157.4mm/3.4cm
January 2006: 8.6c/4.0c/283.6mm/0cm
February 2006: 7.8c/0.7c/57.0mm/trace
March 2006: 10.3c/2.7c/86.0mm/6.4cm
Wowwww 2 super fugly winters right there :thumbdown: :thumbdown:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

even the 06z GFS has no hope, and confirms the previous runs of rainstorm after rainstorm for us thru the end of the month :x :x .
Merry Christmas buttees!
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PittGal »

Catnip wrote: Mon Dec 16, 2024 9:27 pm :think:

0C910FBD-78CF-40A7-972E-315001B7279E.png
Is this something that could affect the whole lower mainland area if it were to happen? Thank you!
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