December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

[Hawk]

Welcome back Monty..a little snow to help out . Looks like a very tough start to this snowy season. I think after today you'd be in the lead in SW BC and Island with 1cm seasons total

[Catnip]

Yikes.

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[wetcoast91]

Yikes.

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Good news is ECMWF weeklies show a +PNA pattern for most of January. We could see tons of dry weather with frost next month!

[Typeing3]

Blowtorch with multiple opportunities for ARs the next month. Ridging late January with retrogression by early Feb.

Unfortunately think cold will linger on in that March-May period.

Heard 1989-90 thrown around as an analogue. One of the biggest February snowstorms in recorded history for Vancouver that year. Snow lingered on the ground for a while thereafter as well as a shot of modified arctic air that followed led to some impressive min temps aided by the low level cold from the deep snow cover.

Of course, we could continue following the 2005-06 analogue which has been pretty spot on thus far with a long dry backdoor blast in February as well.

A cold spring to follow with multiple slushfalls in March and April wouldn't surprise me

[Typeing3]

Looking fairly active in the mid-long range with storms moving through every couple days or so.

Perhaps another windstorm or two is on tap.

1966-67 and 2005-06 analogues continue to prove their worth with the alternating ridging and this Aleutian Low pattern.

[Typeing3]

Yikes.

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Looks decent for Greenland.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Heard 1989-90 thrown around as an analogue. One of the biggest February snowstorms in recorded history for Vancouver that year. Snow lingered on the ground for a while thereafter as well as a shot of modified arctic air that followed led to some impressive min temps aided by the low level cold from the deep snow cover.

Of course, we could continue following the 2005-06 analogue which has been pretty spot on thus far with a long dry backdoor blast in February as well.

A cold spring to follow with multiple slushfalls in March and April wouldn't surprise me

Don’t make me laugh.

[wetcoast91]

1966-67 and 2005-06 analogues continue to prove their worth with the alternating ridging and this Aleutian Low pattern.

I would rather see a 2015 or 2016 JFM again at this point. Let's get a head start on spring.

[Typeing3]

I would rather see a 2015 or 2016 JFM again at this point. Let's get a head start on spring.

Unlikely given the current ENSO state.

[wetcoast91]

Unlikely given the current ENSO state.

Yeah, I think the writing is on the wall for a cold March and April.

[PortKells]

Yeah, I think the writing is on the wall for a cold March and April.

You’ve been saying this for many years now but you know full well that cold months happen maybe once or twice a year. Also if we get a bad snowpack then we’ll be begging for a cold spring for drought concerns.

[PortKells]

For what it’s worth…(nothing)

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[Hawk]

........ multiple slushfalls in March and April wouldn't surprise me

Lets hope next winter is better!!

[Hawk]

Sorry Monty..Catnip got 2cms on Nov 18 so i dunno if youve had more snow so far

[Hawk]

As it turned out it looks like SFU got nothing today except a few flakes. I checked the webcams a couple times this morning and didn't see anything.