December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Michael1
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

Hawk wrote: ↑Fri Dec 06, 2024 7:58 am ..and as the days go on and we are stuck in this #patternlock..we will be talking for mid to end of January..in this abysmal LN effort of 2024/2025 :roll: :roll: What happened to all those juicy LR predicts from just 2 months ago?? :thumbdown: :thumbdown:
The LR models are a clever guess, generated by a computer, based on data that is no longer valid in a volatile climate. Anything more than 7- 10 days, you may as well save the chicken bones, give them a toss and consult a book on divination.
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Catnip
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Fri Dec 06, 2024 9:05 am The good thing is the zonal pattern will likely build up the Mountain snowpack over 1500 meters in the next 2 weeks.

The bad news is model and ensemble runs keep showing a sustained torch by mid-late month.

Image
Ben Noll is hinting at the potential for a colder January.

Screenshot 2024-12-06 092621.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Catnip
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

:raindrip: :raindrip:
1.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Catnip
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

But wait there's more!

:dancepine: :raindrip:
2.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Catnip
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Image
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Looks like Nito is going to get a few more lawn mowings in this month.
ecmwf-deterministic-or_wa-qpf_anom_7day-4091200.png
ecmwf-deterministic-or_wa-t2m_f_anom_7day-4091200.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Catnip
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Back door January leading to #FEB

:shrug:
seas5_z500a_mon_noram_JAN2025.png
seas5_z500a_mon_noram_FEB2025.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Catnip
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

IMG_2683.png
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:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Vancouver
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Vancouver »

Excellent model runs for a White Christmas. The rug pull for the pineapples looking good. The models tend to flip
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Michael1
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

Vancouver wrote: ↑Fri Dec 06, 2024 11:14 am Excellent model runs for a White Christmas. The rug pull for the pineapples looking good. The models tend to flip
I like the idea, but would be interested in the basis for this.
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wetcoast91
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Michael1 wrote: ↑Fri Dec 06, 2024 11:27 am I like the idea, but would be interested in the basis for this.
A time machine to December 2021 or December 2008.
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Michael1
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Fri Dec 06, 2024 12:15 pm A time machine to December 2021 or December 2008.
:hammer:
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Catnip wrote: ↑Fri Dec 06, 2024 11:05 amIMG_2683.png
I was thinking perhaps Radar had a comment on that.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Bc_trucker
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bc_trucker »

Just a quick weather update from your BC trucker just driving south of Bellingham and it is super windy here and 15°, how weird
East Chilliwack/Rosedale 15m
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Bc_trucker wrote: ↑Fri Dec 06, 2024 6:29 pm Just a quick weather update from your BC trucker just driving south of Bellingham and it is super windy here and 15°, how weird
Bellingham gets wild temperature spikes in the winter due to downsloping off the Chuckanut Mountains when the winds are right.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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