December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

It's the most wonderful time of the year! I know I'm a about 10 days early, but I thought I would jump the gun by a couple days :)

Hopefully we will see a white Christmas! I like the white Christmases where the roads are clear and the lawns are white, especially if we can mow them!
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

stuffradio wrote: Thu Nov 21, 2024 10:58 am It's the most wonderful time of the year! I know I'm a about 10 days early, but I thought I would jump the gun by a couple days :)

Hopefully we will see a white Christmas! I like the white Christmases where the roads are clear and the lawns are white, especially if we can mow them!
Oh and no GST/HST starting Dec 14th. :D :shifty: egg grog, Canukes loosing games faster then players :drunk: more egg grogs :cheers: skipper Grumpy and l measuring rainfall more than snowfall. Yes it's a magical time of the year and it all
starts with the fights and arguments right here over the always accurate models where it's always 10 days away.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image - 2024-11-30.png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image - 2024-11-30T.png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image - 2024-11-30T1.png



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20241130225710-632dcc9928f06d4b2a11c22a51b7e37528a3c1b0.png
20241130225653-e7441c891d6da5e867b4e9a4a02308eeef20523f.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Nov 30, 2024 2:57 pm 12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image - 2024-11-30.png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image - 2024-11-30T.png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image - 2024-11-30T1.png





-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
20241130225710-632dcc9928f06d4b2a11c22a51b7e37528a3c1b0.png
20241130225653-e7441c891d6da5e867b4e9a4a02308eeef20523f.png
This looks horrible unless your a pineapple head like Neato. Great for hanging pineapple Christmas lights it's currently plus 6c @ your home for the holiday's the pond in south Sardis. :wave:
F7A4ZHYKIVPOYTT.jpg
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It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Welcome to meteorological winter forum friends, we reached an overnight low of 4c @ your favorite holiday home the pond in south Sardis.
81tzQxjjFmL._AC_SL1500_.jpg
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It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

#2ndhalfofDEC

leading to an

#EpicJAN

C'MON!
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Latest EURO AI has some potential.
1.png
2.png
3.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Happy first day of Winter!
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: Sun Dec 01, 2024 8:52 am Latest EURO AI has some potential.

1.png
2.png
3.png
#backdoor
:typing: :type3:
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

No reason to worry about the details so far out but what an improvement across the models for the 2nd half of December. :shock: :silent: :wave: :14clown:

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-4220800.png
gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_anom-4220800.png
ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-4350400.png
ecmwf-aifs-all-namer-z500_anom-4328800.png
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Dec 01, 2024 10:43 am#backdoor
Yup.

But backdoor, front door, window, chimney… gotta invite the cold in any which way it would like to enter.

:mrgreen:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Nice sunny day so far today.

:thumbup:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Dec 01, 2024 10:59 am No reason to worry about the details so far out but what an improvement across the models for the 2nd half of December. :shock: :silent: :wave: :14clown:


ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-4220800.png

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_anom-4220800.png

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-4350400.png

ecmwf-aifs-all-namer-z500_anom-4328800.png

Been beating the #2ndhalfofDEC drum for a bit now.


Nice to see the longer range models show at least some potential.

Of course we all know how fast things can go to crap and the power of the :dancepine: is just too much for the :chilly: to overcome. :cry:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Pumpkin Seed »

Catnip wrote: Sun Dec 01, 2024 10:59 am Yup.

But backdoor, front door, window, chimney… gotta invite the cold in any which way it would like to enter.

:mrgreen:
Agreed. As long as it’s an opened door, I really don’t care it’s back or front.
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

West gets fairly cold at the end of the 12z GFS. :14clown:
IMG_2618.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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