November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

[Catnip]

That looks horrible luckily it will change times in the next 360 hours.

Or will it….

The seem to be in the drivers seat currently.

Hopefully they start to freeze soon!

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

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[Rubus_Leucodermis]

And for a more BC-centred view:

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[wetcoast91]

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[Hawk]

for everyone come mid December on the latest EPS.



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LR models are hurting..imagine we get a mild Dec..followed by ridgy or bommy rains for the most part the rest of Winter?

[Hawk]

I think the 2nd half of December will be a coast to coast torch with plenty of tropical punch systems impacting the west coast.

i think you say this every year, at different times throughout winter

[PortKells]

LR models are hurting..imagine we get a mild Dec..followed by ridgy or bommy rains for the most part the rest of Winter?

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[Michael1]

Such a happy forum. With a cool PDO and a cool neutral enso, it is unlikely that the entire winter will suck. Also, I am reminded that few years ago, when we were in a legit La Nina, people were parsing the distribution of cold SST anomalies and discussing how ENSO neutral winters are better. So here we are.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Such a happy forum. With a cool PDO and a cool neutral enso, it is unlikely that the entire winter will suck. Also, I am reminded that few years ago, when we were in a legit La Nina, people were parsing the distribution of cold SST anomalies and discussing how ENSO neutral winters are better. So here we are.

Pretty clear that Team Pineapple is going to rule for the next week or so. Beyond that lies clown range. Odds strongly disfavour a winterlong torch.

[Vancouver]

Such a happy forum. With a cool PDO and a cool neutral enso, it is unlikely that the entire winter will suck. Also, I am reminded that few years ago, when we were in a legit La Nina, people were parsing the distribution of cold SST anomalies and discussing how ENSO neutral winters are better. So here we are.

Nearly all the record LM snowfalls of the past 40 years occurred during neutral winters.

Observations, winter potential tends to occur when the long range looks boring.

[Canada Goose]

Great...

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[Typeing3]

Great...


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Pretty much will have to write off the first three weeks of December as it will torch here. The east will get their long-awaited cold December.

Late December through mid January will be the time to watch for our region, IMO.

[Canada Goose]

Late December through mid January will be the time to watch for our region, IMO.

That *would* be perfect for Christmas Holidays.

November was much drier than normal here in Coquitlam (for the 3rd year in a row...) and December doesn't look very wet too.

[Hawk]

Pretty much will have to write off the first three weeks of December as it will torch here. The east will get their long-awaited cold December.

Late December through mid January will be the time to watch for our region, IMO.

This post sounds like the GFS looks..always showing snow in the LR

[AbbyJr]

Pretty much will have to write off the first three weeks of December as it will torch here. The east will get their long-awaited cold December.

Late December through mid January will be the time to watch for our region, IMO.

Personally, I wouldn't write off anything beyond the first week of the month. Anything beyond 200hrs is pure fantasy. Week two is around 204hrs away and week three is nearly 360hrs out. A lot can change between now and then and things can change quickly. My guess is that we will see a pattern reset by mid month. Likely ends up being an active pattern with the potential for an arctic blast late month. Time will tell.