November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Nov 27, 2024 9:41 am This is all rain on the ski hills. Won't take much to erode the 1 meter snow depth.
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

stuffradio wrote: Wed Nov 27, 2024 8:40 am TWN released its winter outlook. It's calling for a colder than normal and snowier than normal winter for SW BC.
I'll believe it when I see it.
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Catnip wrote: Wed Nov 27, 2024 9:39 am Looks similar to some of the other's we've seen.


The focus of winter's fury will be in western Canada, where near-normal and colder-than-normal temperatures are expected to dominate this upcoming season.

British Columbia

A cold winter is expected across the province, with a heightened risk for periods of severe cold for the B.C. Peace region and arctic outflow events for the south coast region. However, the frigid pattern will relax at times, especially during December.

An active storm track should also bring above-normal snowfall to southern parts of the province, including Vancouver, Victoria, and Kelowna. Much of the south and central coast should see near-normal rain totals with a lower than normal risk for Pineapple Express events. Below-normal precipitation is expected for the north coast region.

However, above-normal snow totals are expected to extend into some areas with near-normal precipitation totals. The colder temperatures should result in less rain and more pure snow events, even across lower elevations.

A solid ski season is expected, including a strong start to the season, especially compared to last year. Snow totals in the alpine regions are not expected to be exceptional, but fewer rain events in the alpine regions should help to preserve the snow that does fall across the region, and colder temperatures will allow for more snowmaking opportunities.

NAT_Temp_Winter2425.jpg
NAT_Precip_WinterFX2425.jpg
NAT_Snow_WinterFX2425.jpg
Backloaded winter. Works for me if it means a cold January. :wave:
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Euro looks pretty pineapply in the extended...

Neetz should be here shortly! :mrgreen:

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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

Catnip wrote: Wed Nov 27, 2024 11:25 am Euro looks pretty pineapply in the extended...

Neetz should be here shortly! :mrgreen:

You mean Neets in his pink petites!
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Ridge looks like it may start to retrograde at the end of the EPS.

Some of the other longer range models have hinted at this on and off the past few days.

Something to keep an eye on I guess.

#2ndhalfofDEC

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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Wed Nov 27, 2024 11:25 am Euro looks pretty pineapply in the extended...

Neetz should be here shortly! :mrgreen:

:dancepine:
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: Wed Nov 27, 2024 9:39 am Looks similar to some of the other's we've seen.


The focus of winter's fury will be in western Canada, where near-normal and colder-than-normal temperatures are expected to dominate this upcoming season.

British Columbia

A cold winter is expected across the province, with a heightened risk for periods of severe cold for the B.C. Peace region and arctic outflow events for the south coast region. However, the frigid pattern will relax at times, especially during December.

An active storm track should also bring above-normal snowfall to southern parts of the province, including Vancouver, Victoria, and Kelowna. Much of the south and central coast should see near-normal rain totals with a lower than normal risk for Pineapple Express events. Below-normal precipitation is expected for the north coast region.

However, above-normal snow totals are expected to extend into some areas with near-normal precipitation totals. The colder temperatures should result in less rain and more pure snow events, even across lower elevations.

A solid ski season is expected, including a strong start to the season, especially compared to last year. Snow totals in the alpine regions are not expected to be exceptional, but fewer rain events in the alpine regions should help to preserve the snow that does fall across the region, and colder temperatures will allow for more snowmaking opportunities.

NAT_Temp_Winter2425.jpg
NAT_Precip_WinterFX2425.jpg
NAT_Snow_WinterFX2425.jpg
Looks like they're going for a bit of a suppressed jet pattern too, with below average precip on the north and central coast. Would mean we could see a few battleground setups between the cold, dry air to the north and the warm, mild air to the south.
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Nov 27, 2024 11:09 am Backloaded winter. Works for me if it means a cold January. :wave:
Not possible! :eh:
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Nov 27, 2024 1:22 pm Not possible! :eh:
Cold February, March and April :wave:
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

I would like there to be snow in the second half of December. My family is visiting from HK and some have never seen snow before.
Nito, pls ask your pineapple deities to grant this one wish.
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Kanukes are playing decent so who cares if it torches for now.
Bess is back Dumko will be back soon and JT hopefully soon l'm thinking mental health issues. We reached a low of 3c this morning in the central valley no hard freeze yet
Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Wed Nov 27, 2024 4:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Wed Nov 27, 2024 7:55 am It took some warm AR’s to achieve that. Warm dry ridging, like what’s being modelled, will cause compaction but no big melt-off.
tell em Rubus!! :lol: :lol:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

stuffradio wrote: Wed Nov 27, 2024 8:40 am TWN released its winter outlook. It's calling for a colder than normal and snowier than normal winter for SW BC.
TWN? :roll: :roll:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Perhaps still things to figure out as we head into December.

#2ndhalfofDEC
#nomorepineapples

:shrug:
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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