November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

18Z models showing lowland snow tomorrow night. Others (GEM, NAM, HRRR) do not show it.
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-2039200.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-2039200.png
hrdps-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-2039200.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Typeing3
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image - 2024-11-17.png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image - 2024-11-17T.png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image - 2024-11-17T1.png



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20241118003546-ce6ec8f298fbd1646ac738b2327812632e1e7ce0.png
20241118003533-5d413f0de4064f51691433a035373ad68924dec3.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Roberts Creeker
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Sun Nov 17, 2024 1:34 pm NAM and GFS showing Tuesday night snow.

nam-nest-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-2082400.pnggfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-2125600.pnggfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-2082400.png
:hbeat: :hbeat:

Alex I'll take GFS for 5.2! :clap: :clap: :flakey: :flakey:

This is surprising seeing as we've only had one frozen morning so far but I won't complain.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Anyone else hearing thunder?
It's called clown range for a reason.
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VanCitySouth
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Sun Nov 17, 2024 7:25 pm Anyone else hearing thunder?
Yes, and a bout of heavy hail, but the for server was not coöperative at the time
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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tyweather
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

feetz at the end of the run

Image
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Michael1
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

Just got a special weather statement fora Tuesday wind storm.
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Bc_trucker
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bc_trucker »

Found on a page from one of our neighbors to the South....


https://youtu.be/M9HTyyU9hFs?si=CfCXM6b01U4SSrBk
East Chilliwack/Rosedale 15m
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Bc_trucker
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bc_trucker »

Michael1 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 17, 2024 9:46 pm Just got a special weather statement fora Tuesday wind storm.
Just received one here as well. Probably another sunshine coast special and some outflow winds in the valley for us?
East Chilliwack/Rosedale 15m
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snowjoker
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by snowjoker »

A set of streamers like this in December would be nice, with the rain coming in straight from the west. About 3 or so degrees in Richmond, and the rain was starting to get chunky.
Praying for another 1950
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tyweather
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Looks like a crazy weather pattern in more ways than one
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Typeing3
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Threading the needle in the clown range. Fairly strong system approaches from the W/NW just as a fresh shot of arctic air descends from the north.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_namer_fh306-342.gif
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh306-342.gif
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:typing: :type3:
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Catnip
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 17, 2024 10:54 pm Threading the needle in the clown range. Fairly strong system approaches from the W/NW just as a fresh shot of arctic air descends from the north.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_namer_fh306-342.gif
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh306-342.gif
#DEC

Also… do I see a PG high?

:think:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Roberts Creeker
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

I saw snow forecast for Campbell River for tonight and excitedly opened EC Sechelt to find a SWS!!! :o :o Only to open it and find it was for wind :( :( Anyone know where I can trade my wind SWS for a snowfall warning? :lol: :lol:
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Roberts Creeker
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Bc_trucker wrote: ↑Sun Nov 17, 2024 9:50 pm Just received one here as well. Probably another sunshine coast special and some outflow winds in the valley for us?
The eggs will be hatched by then so it'll probably just be a stiff breeze. :lol: :lol: We do have a SWS but no wind speed so how bad can it be??? :silent:
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