November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5316
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4374 times
Been thanked: 10672 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Screenshot 2024-11-14 at 20.14.35.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
It's called clown range for a reason.
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6207
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6157 times
Been thanked: 14132 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

00z GFS pounds Oregon with that AR. More Mountain snow up here. :thumbup:

This is absurd though.

Image
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 9777
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 11957 times
Been thanked: 21605 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Nov 14, 2024 8:30 pm 00z GFS pounds Oregon with that AR. More Mountain snow up here. :thumbup:

This is absurd though.

Image
:raindrip: :raindrip: :raindrip:
IMG_2496.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
stuffradio
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 2430
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:07 pm
Location: Maple Ridge
Has thanked: 3815 times
Been thanked: 5930 times
Contact:

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

The cold air gets relatively close on the 00Z at the end of Nov, but then it moves east.
User avatar
Roberts Creeker
Donator
Donator
Posts: 3914
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:17 pm
Location: Upper Roberts Creek
Elevation: 162 M./532 ft.
Has thanked: 22087 times
Been thanked: 7382 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Thu Nov 14, 2024 10:23 am :14clown: :flakey:

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-2579200.png
These blue and purple maps are just so pretty! :flakey: :flakey: :clap: :clap:

Cold tonight, 2.8c in Roberts Creek and ice on the car, 3.2c in Sechelt (Wilson Creek Airport). I think it's the first frozen night. I'd check but I don't know where EC hid the historic daily temps.
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7011
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12799 times
Been thanked: 6504 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Chilly next few days..low snow levels incoming buttees >> SWS up for Sea to Sky..wait..is it Dec 15 or Nov 15? :shock: and also :think:
Its already starting early...i cant wait to see what December will bring..only 2 weeks away!! :thumbup: :flakey:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
stuffradio
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 2430
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:07 pm
Location: Maple Ridge
Has thanked: 3815 times
Been thanked: 5930 times
Contact:

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Well this is something. 953mb low off the coast with snow?
Also look at this cold air so close. The sounding shows -6C for Abbotsford.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_21.png
gfs_T850a_nwus_53.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7011
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12799 times
Been thanked: 6504 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

stuffradio wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2024 6:13 am Well this is something. 953mb low off the coast with snow?
Also look at this cold air so close. The sounding shows -6C for Abbotsford.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_21.png

gfs_T850a_nwus_53.png
it showed as a 947 in one frame :shock: :shock:

edit: 945
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12722
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22183 times
Been thanked: 24546 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

stuffradio wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2024 6:13 am Well this is something. 953mb low off the coast with snow?
Also look at this cold air so close. The sounding shows -6C for Abbotsford.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_21.png

gfs_T850a_nwus_53.png
That setup at face value would draw out a ton of low level outflow and produce snow down to sea level.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12722
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22183 times
Been thanked: 24546 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2024 1:01 am These blue and purple maps are just so pretty! :flakey: :flakey: :clap: :clap:

Cold tonight, 2.8c in Roberts Creek and ice on the car, 3.2c in Sechelt (Wilson Creek Airport). I think it's the first frozen night. I'd check but I don't know where EC hid the historic daily temps.
We've had two frosts here so far this season, but still awaiting the first freeze. Last night was foggy and now partly cloudy so no frost here.

As for the historic daily temps, you have to search for the station manually now using this link: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/historica ... ata_e.html
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7011
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12799 times
Been thanked: 6504 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

:alert:
GFS is looking very snowy at the end of November for us. Only 14 days away!!
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6207
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6157 times
Been thanked: 14132 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

12z GFS introduces some cold air aloft which leads to some passing wet snow showers on Monday evening into Tuesday.
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6207
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6157 times
Been thanked: 14132 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

This low is fortunately not riding the jet stream. We are now talking about a major snowstorm for Eastern Vancouver Island. Wow.

Image
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 9777
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 11957 times
Been thanked: 21605 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Next Fri/Sat look :raindrip: :raindrip: :raindrip: :raindrip: :raindrip: :raindrip: on the 12Z GFS.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6207
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6157 times
Been thanked: 14132 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2024 8:53 am Next Fri/Sat look :raindrip: :raindrip: :raindrip: :raindrip: :raindrip: :raindrip: on the 12Z GFS.
Good pineapple pattern with that GOA in the right spot. Brings in an endless supply of tropical punch.

:dancepine: :dance: :dancepine:
Last edited by wetcoast91 on Fri Nov 15, 2024 9:19 am, edited 1 time in total.
Post Reply