November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

[Hawk]

For the last few weeks and it looks like the next 2 more..no Pineapples in sight at all (Sorry Nito) and we are just into early November. What happened to 16c rains in October or 13c rains in November with mild repeated AR's??

[stuffradio]

We're probably going to end up with a rain deficit this month, but there is some rain appearing on the 12Z GFS with ~125mm.

gfs_apcpn_nwus_64.png

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (3).png

00z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (4).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (5).png

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[wetcoast91]

We're probably going to end up with a rain deficit this month, but there is some rain appearing on the 12Z GFS with ~125mm.

gfs_apcpn_nwus_64.png

[tyweather]

Another view of the tornado
https://x.com/RyanVoutilainen/status/18 ... 8YXqQ&s=19

[SouthSardiswx]

Another view of the tornado
https://x.com/RyanVoutilainen/status/18 ... 8YXqQ&s=19

Insane footage last time we had that UBC incident didn't our winter work out just fine for snow? Kristi Gorden showed a different view but this one was better it was classified as a EF0.

[stuffradio]

Was it an EF-0 tornado? I ask because I thought the definition of EF-0 is that it didn't cause any damage, or maybe that it didn't touch down.

[Hawk]

pretty boring and mostly seasonal start to November..
Looks somewhat chilly and a little rainy the next several days..the mtn peaks will do ok

[Hawk]

Another view of the tornado
https://x.com/RyanVoutilainen/status/18 ... 8YXqQ&s=19

That was crazy right here in Vancouver!!

[SouthSardiswx]

Was it an EF-0 tornado? I ask because I thought the definition of EF-0 is that it didn't cause any damage, or maybe that it didn't touch down.

Kristi Gordon called it a EF0. The low this morning was 7c @ the pond in south Sardis.

[Roberts Creeker]

Was it an EF-0 tornado? I ask because I thought the definition of EF-0 is that it didn't cause any damage, or maybe that it didn't touch down.

https://weather.com/storms/tornado/news ... e-20130206 A good explanation here.

It's based on wind speed estimated from the damage done. EF0 is minimal damage including trees down.

[wetcoast91]

pretty boring and mostly seasonal start to November..
Looks somewhat chilly and a little rainy the next several days..the mtn peaks will do ok

Most of the precip between Friday and Tuesday will fall as rain on the local Mountains then it looks like weak splitting in the LR.

Cold airmass is finally developing and there are signs of a weak PV split. First signs of winter for Eastern Canada and Europe in tbe 10-15 day period?

December is in the cards.

[PortKells]

Most of the precip between Friday and Tuesday will fall as rain on the local Mountains then it looks like weak splitting in the LR.

Cold airmass is finally developing and there are signs of a weak PV split. First signs of winter for Eastern Canada and Europe in tbe 10-15 day period?

December is in the cards.

Monday freezing levels don't look as bad as you say, unless I'm missing something. At least the peaks should catch a nice dumping. Of course, I don't get excited about early season snowpack because Nov 2021 taught us that it's not necessarily for keeps.

[Hawk]

Most of the precip between Friday and Tuesday will fall as rain on the local Mountains then it looks like weak splitting in the LR.

Cold airmass is finally developing and there are signs of a weak PV split. First signs of winter for Eastern Canada and Europe in tbe 10-15 day period?

December is in the cards.

The words split flow dont sit well on here from November to March Nito

Lets try to be a little more Snowpositive

[stuffradio]

It's just one model and it's a control run, but one the control NCEP is showing... maybe snow? November 18ish.

2024110712_054@007_E1_yxx_I_NAEFS@EPSGRAMS_tt@surf@nt@pr@ws@surf_360.png