October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

[Glacier]

Where there any monthly or all time records broken? Has anyone seen any return period calculations? Was this a 1 in 100 storm?

The only place in the province with a monthly record is Kitimat. 360.6 mm. Short period of record though.

Maybe 1 in 20 rainfall event in some places. Namely, Coquitlam to Pitt Meadows area.

[Hawk]

Didnt seem like a ton of rain..spread out over ~48 hours or so so not much above a normal rainstorm really..like 100mm/day or so

[VanCitySouth]

Didnt seem like a ton of rain..spread out over ~48 hours or so so not much above a normal rainstorm really..like 100mm/day or so

It wasn't remarkable for the Valley but for Metro it was. Most of Metro I think outperformed Nov 2021, worst since Oct 2003.

[Typeing3]

Didnt seem like a ton of rain..spread out over ~48 hours or so so not much above a normal rainstorm really..like 100mm/day or so

Depends on location. Was significant for locales north of the Fraser.

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

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00z ECMWF ensembles:

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00z GEM ensembles:

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[PortKells]

‘Those’ runs are back.

B8BB6F04-36BF-4A81-B9C8-8FA9EC77873B.png

[Hawk]

Mtn peaks could get lots of snow the next 14 days..cool and wet. It could be a great start to ski season this year. We will see.

[stuffradio]

‘Those’ runs are back.

B8BB6F04-36BF-4A81-B9C8-8FA9EC77873B.png

Hopefully they don't verify because that usually means it's forks for winter in December.

[SouthSardiswx]

‘Those’ runs are back.

B8BB6F04-36BF-4A81-B9C8-8FA9EC77873B.png

These dollar store runs are a treat Kells it's like buying a dollar store costume that falls apart in the rain. we reached a low again of 5c at the pond in south Sardis.

[SouthSardiswx]

Hopefully they don't verify because that usually means it's forks for winter in December.

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[wetcoast91]

Hopefully they don't verify because that usually means it's forks for winter in December.

Bit out there but November is looking very pineapple-ly based on the LR models.

[Canada Goose]

Depends on location. Was significant for locales north of the Fraser.

Coquitlam Burke Mountain:

100.0 mm/6 h
154.5 mm/12 h
224.3 mm/24 h
266.0 mm/48 h
291.4 mm total

All-time records have been smashed, shattered, pulverized.
Even though the POR is very short [2014-], this is highly significative. The previous records were much, much lower (half lower for most).

[Catnip]

Bit out there but November is looking very pineapple-ly based on the LR models.

And after that.....

cfs_t2m_anom_northamerica_202412_1.png

[wetcoast91]

And after that.....




cfs_t2m_anom_northamerica_202412_1.png

SilverFallsAndrew
February and March look epically cold on the CFS. Another backloaded winter on the way.

I'll do one better and straight up cancel winter again!

[SouthSardiswx]

I'll do one better and straight up cancel winter again!

Andrew just talking to himself again. A mix of sun and cloud today in the central valley and 12c the fall colors are awesome this time of the year right El Neetz