October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Catnip
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

From the 12z Euro.

Hopefully we can score something like this a few times this Winter.
70C97D3F-5774-43ED-B9F2-9E41EEAEBC4B.png
15D24414-D800-46A6-8C80-FD769A6962E1.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Catnip wrote: Mon Oct 21, 2024 11:41 pm From the 12z Euro.

Hopefully we can score something like this a few times this Winter.

70C97D3F-5774-43ED-B9F2-9E41EEAEBC4B.png
15D24414-D800-46A6-8C80-FD769A6962E1.png
We probably will Catnip. With all these long term forecasts...this year, the threat is very real! :shock: :shock:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png



-------------------------------------------------------------------------
20241022134727-5cbce0130c7bbf1b1acd07fe4e1c9176b9784e6b.png
20241022134711-f5e0a12ba49d1a4a96e0f2542b61d419e737e822.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Next 15-16 days total precip on the ensembles


00z GEFS (GFS ensembles)
1000013526.png


00z EPS (ECMWF ensembles)
1000013527.png


00z GEPS (GEM ensembles)
1000013528.png
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Glacier »

I spent the weekend in victoria. Had a dust off my umbrella that I haven't pulled out since the last time I was in Victoria 5 years ago... Damn, did it ever rain! It started 1 km south of Lytton and just never let up.

They say that Hope is the wettest place along the Fraser river, but that is a lie. It just rained harder as I went towards vancouver!
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Picked up 23mm of rain this morning. There were some fairly heavy downpours.

Currently sitting at 298.5 for the month, with the majority having accumulated over the past few days of course.

:raindrip:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Glacier wrote: Tue Oct 22, 2024 10:16 am I spent the weekend in victoria. Had a dust off my umbrella that I haven't pulled out since the last time I was in Victoria 5 years ago... Damn, did it ever rain! It started 1 km south of Lytton and just never let up.

They say that Hope is the wettest place along the Fraser river, but that is a lie. It just rained harder as I went towards vancouver!
Near 70 mm in Victoria last weekend.

413 mm in Coquitlam Burke Mountain for this month, rainiest October since at least 2014. This place is probably the wettest of Metro Vancouver.
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Glacier wrote: Tue Oct 22, 2024 10:16 am I spent the weekend in victoria. Had a dust off my umbrella that I haven't pulled out since the last time I was in Victoria 5 years ago... Damn, did it ever rain! It started 1 km south of Lytton and just never let up.

They say that Hope is the wettest place along the Fraser river, but that is a lie. It just rained harder as I went towards vancouver!
Normally Hope is one of the rainier spots Glace but this was more west and north oriented.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

It dropped to 3C this morning.
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by East Chilliwack »

First snow of the year at my new location in the foothills of southern Alberta. I won’t bore you guys with posts from here often but I’ll follow along as it’s still cool to see how the weather is doing in the Vancouver area!
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

East Chilliwack wrote: Wed Oct 23, 2024 5:21 am First snow of the year at my new location in the foothills of southern Alberta. I won’t bore you guys with posts from here often but I’ll follow along as it’s still cool to see how the weather is doing in the Vancouver area!
Nice :arrow: :arrow: move east :clap: :clap:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

East Chilliwack wrote: Wed Oct 23, 2024 5:21 am First snow of the year at my new location in the foothills of southern Alberta. I won’t bore you guys with posts from here often but I’ll follow along as it’s still cool to see how the weather is doing in the Vancouver area!
Absolutely outstanding photos former East Whack neighbor, had no idea you moved. Definitely will miss you. You'll be hard to replace on team Sardinies this winter with your outstanding perch on the hillside but it appears you picked an outstanding area to move to as long as you don't go Lames or Oil can rogue on us :lol: which town is nearby? and do keep us up on your snow total and temperature we use to have a member that moved to Albert but haven't seen him here in afew years. :thumbup:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

stuffradio wrote: Wed Oct 23, 2024 4:06 am It dropped to 3C this morning.
Only down to 5c in the central valley this morning. :x :wtf: :thumbdown: :(
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

CPC currently going for a cool/wet 2 week period.
610temp.new.gif
610prcp.new.gif
814temp.new.gif
814prcp.new.gif
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Where there any monthly or all time records broken? Has anyone seen any return period calculations? Was this a 1 in 100 storm?


Canada Goose wrote: Mon Oct 21, 2024 7:15 pm More data:

291.4 mm Coquitlam Burke Mountain
279.3 mm Coquitlam David Avenue Pump Station
232.8 mm Burnaby Mountain
231.1 mm Coquitlam Cottonwood Park
228.3 mm Coquitam Ranch Park
220.4 mm Coquitlam Poirier Community Centre
218.9 mm West Vancouver
212.6 mm Maple Ridge Malcolm UBC Knapp Research Forest
209.0 mm Port Mellon
209.0 mm Burnaby Kensington Arena
202.4 mm Sheringham Point
200.9 mm Burnaby Kerr Wood Leidal

199.6 mm Maple Ridge 256 St
188.3 mm Vancouver Harbour
187.1 mm Surrey Arts Centre
180.2 mm Pitt Meadows
179.8 mm Maple Ridge Town Centre
177.0 mm Burnaby South
174.8 mm Surrey Kwantlen Park
172.4 mm Squamish Airport
165.9 mm Surrey Chantrell Creek Elementary
165.5 mm Surrey Old Municipal Hall
160.9 mm Delta Burns Bog
160.5 mm Estevan Point
159.8 mm Burnaby Edmonds Community Centre
159.3 mm Surrey 68th Ave/176th St
154.7 mm Langley Municipal
154.6 mm Langley Yorkson
143.6 mm Langley High Point
137.8 mm Agassiz
137.3 mm Langley Kinsmen Centre
130.8 mm White Rock Semiahmoo Fish & Game Club
130.4 mm Vancouver Sea Island
130.1 mm Vancouver YVR
128.8 mm Abbotsford YXX
125.0 mm White Rock
123.2 mm Howe Sound Pam Rocks
121.0 mm Surrey Port Kells
121.0 mm White Rock STP
107.4 mm North Cowichan
105.4 mm Cultus Lake
104.2 mm Port Alberni
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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