October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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stuffradio
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Let’s get 120mm of rain and then drop to -5 a week later
9769F4F7-5C8C-43C1-8213-17B117399186.png
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

stuffradio wrote: Sun Oct 13, 2024 2:06 pm Let’s get 120mm of rain and then drop to -5 a week later

9769F4F7-5C8C-43C1-8213-17B117399186.png
Couldn't we get them both at the same time??? :clap: :clap:

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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Who's ready for some fall flooding next weekend? :think: :wave:

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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Oct 13, 2024 10:02 pm Who's ready for some fall flooding next weekend? :think: :wave:


gem-all-vancouverski-precip_48hr_mm-9468800.png
Do we get another Sumas lake out of it again Jr. man? :wtf: :x :D
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Oct 13, 2024 10:02 pm Who's ready for some fall flooding next weekend? :think: :wave:


gem-all-vancouverski-precip_48hr_mm-9468800.png
I don't think I want that much rain, but having active stormy weather is better than having a lot of ridging for a cold snowy winter, I think.
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png



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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Are we now going to get a #patternlock for ~2 months of stormy rains? :think:
Maybe that will set us up for an amazing snowy Dec 2024
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Jr. Man you forgot your August and September monthly reports. :clap: :thumbup: :D it's currently 12c @ the pond in south Sardis the low this morning was 8c
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Bring the rain!!!
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Mon Oct 14, 2024 4:43 am Do we get another Sumas lake out of it again Jr. man? :wtf: :x :D
Hopefully not. Thankfully, that run is unlikely to verify. While it looks like a potential Atmospheric River, the GEM often overdoes precipitation totals. Further, there were other factors that led to the November 2021 flooding such as snow melt. That shouldn't be an issue this early in the season. :thumbup:
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Mon Oct 14, 2024 9:46 am Jr. Man you forgot your August and September monthly reports. :clap: :thumbup: :D it's currently 12c @ the pond in south Sardis the low this morning was 8c
I'm so sorry. I'll get them posted today. Thanks for reminding me. :oops: :oops: :oops:
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Canada Goose wrote: Mon Oct 14, 2024 9:50 am Bring the rain!!!
Amen! It has been so refreshing.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Snowy mountains?

Image
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

tyweather wrote: Mon Oct 14, 2024 2:02 pm Snowy mountains?

Image
Not if El Neets has his way Ty my man hoping your vacation in the Hoof at Christmas brings piles of snow this year.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
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Re: October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

With apologies to the Longest Johns, I have constructed this little ditty in honour of the up coming season of models, hopes and disappointments:

The models showed us a hurricane; a weather bomb, with torrential rain;
The wind died down and the sun came out- the forecast failed again!

Chorus:
Hey! hey! the weatherman come,
to give us forecasts of rain and sun;
He is rarely on the ball
So take your maps and go.
Last edited by Michael1 on Tue Oct 15, 2024 11:19 am, edited 1 time in total.
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