August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Glacier
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Glacier »

Canada Goose wrote: Fri Aug 02, 2024 6:36 pm Yep! But that's nothing compared to Eastern Canada (dew points up to 25°C today).


Capture d’écran 2024-08-02 à 18.35.22.jpg
It's been incredibly dry in the west chilcotin area and even well into the coast mountains near to the ocean. Those two stations in red (Middle Lake and Tatla Lake) have had very low dew points, and it's been even lower at Plummer Hut relatively near the ocn, although, that's in part because it's the highest elevation weather station in Canada.

PS. Pics of the river dam breaking....
Lumii_20240806_071449804.jpg
20240806_070127.jpg
FraserVolume.png
fraserflood.png
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

stuffradio wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 1:07 pm Is it too early to brag to El Nito about this?
..looks like most of the cold goes East of the Rockies. Tell em Nito!! Hahahaha :lol: :lol:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Catnip wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 12:41 pm :alert:

:think: :think:

Screenshot 2024-08-06 at 12-40-57 BAM Weather (BAMWX) on X Looking into #ENSO evolution analogs for the upcoming Fall season &amp for entertainment purposes a glance into Winter... The only 3 years tracking with this y[...].png

GUTMCKDXwAADlvC.jpg
:shock: Guess I better keep stacking firewood! :chilly: :chilly:

Thanks for the maps!
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Glacier wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 3:03 pm It's been incredibly dry in the west chilcotin area and even well into the coast mountains near to the ocean. Those two stations in red (Middle Lake and Tatla Lake) have had very low dew points, and it's been even lower at Plummer Hut relatively near the ocn, although, that's in part because it's the highest elevation weather station in Canada.

PS. Pics of the river dam breaking....

Lumii_20240806_071449804.jpg

20240806_070127.jpg

FraserVolume.png

fraserflood.png
How do the Fraser water levels compare with average peak freshet levels in late spring?
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 6:00 pm How do the Fraser water levels compare with average peak freshet levels in late spring?
I thought l heard the Fraser down at our end is supposed to rise 3 meters Tflood.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 8:26 pm I thought l heard the Fraser down at our end is supposed to rise 3 meters Tflood.
I read an article tonight stating that as of now, a major flood has been averted and the risk is a lot lower than originally feared. :clap: :thumbup:

Source: https://vancouversun.com/news/water-fro ... er-tuesday
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Abby down to 12.5c earlier this morning..barely cracked 20c yesterday :clap: :clap:
Beautiful 24 hours!
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Hawk wrote: Wed Aug 07, 2024 7:54 am Abby down to 12.5c earlier this morning..barely cracked 20c yesterday :clap: :clap:
Beautiful 24 hours!
I was out in Abbotsford yesterday and it felt comfortable.

Something I have noticed this summer is how bad the driving has gotten in the region. Seen so many dump trucks, 18 wheelers and novice drivers swerving and cutting other motorists off.
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Both the 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks from the CPC today shows below normal temps and above normal precip.
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Glacier »

AbbyJr wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 10:14 pm I read an article tonight stating that as of now, a major flood has been averted and the risk is a lot lower than originally feared. :clap: :thumbup:

Source: https://vancouversun.com/news/water-fro ... er-tuesday
The Fraser is a big azz river, so even though the Chilcotin surged to 3000 cubic meters per second (5 times the previous all-time record), the Fraser is quite low right now, so pushed the Fraser to above this year's peak above Lytton, but not below. This year's peak was lower than average though.
FRASERFLOWZ.png
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 10:14 pm I read an article tonight stating that as of now, a major flood has been averted and the risk is a lot lower than originally feared. :clap: :thumbup:

Source: https://vancouversun.com/news/water-fro ... er-tuesday
Once again Jr Man media hype and unfortunately Global was the front runner. :roll: :x It's currently 27c @ the fish pond in south Sardis warmer than yesterday.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
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https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Glacier wrote: Wed Aug 07, 2024 2:42 pm The Fraser is a big azz river, so even though the Chilcotin surged to 3000 cubic meters per second (5 times the previous all-time record), the Fraser is quite low right now, so pushed the Fraser to above this year's peak above Lytton, but not below. This year's peak was lower than average though.

FRASERFLOWZ.png
So in other words Glace luckily this didn't happen at the peak of the spring freshet or it could have been a major event. :shock:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Glacier wrote: Wed Aug 07, 2024 2:42 pm The Fraser is a big azz river, so even though the Chilcotin surged to 3000 cubic meters per second (5 times the previous all-time record), the Fraser is quite low right now, so pushed the Fraser to above this year's peak above Lytton, but not below. This year's peak was lower than average though.

FRASERFLOWZ.png
As I suspected -- pretty much a non-event for the Fraser, compared to average peak flow levels.
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

stuffradio wrote: Wed Aug 07, 2024 1:52 pm Both the 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks from the CPC today shows below normal temps and above normal precip.
Stick a fork in summer! :silent:
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Now the Euro is showing dew points around 23C in the Fraser Valley for Thursday night. Remains to be seen if it verifies. But if it does then... :sick:


Maps valid for 7:00PM PDT:

xx_model-en-196-0_modez_2024080712_38_17460_1.png
xx_model-en-196-0_modez_2024080712_38_17460_53.png
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