June 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: June 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Impressive heatwave out east. Very strong ridge.
gfs_z500a_namer_3.png
gfs_z500a_namer_7.png
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Re: June 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (6).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (7).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (8).png



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20240618135048-a0aa08b34ef71432a8bef18c71d4018bf5d1f8a9.png
20240618135035-aa0c0043194f4d7b9e55a187444faa6c98db9ac8.png
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Re: June 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Jun 18, 2024 6:49 am Impressive heatwave out east. Very strong ridge.
gfs_z500a_namer_3.png
gfs_z500a_namer_7.png
It's ridiculously hot out east. The humidity is predicted to be between 41 and 46 degrees Celsius in some places, even in Toronto.
Overnight lows are staying in the mid-twenties.
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Re: June 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Jun 18, 2024 6:49 am Impressive heatwave out east. Very strong ridge.
gfs_z500a_namer_3.png
gfs_z500a_namer_7.png
Makes me appreciate this weather even more!
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Re: June 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Glacier »

another wet day yesterday! I'm approaching 70mm for the month!
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Re: June 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Glacier »

Catnip wrote: Wed May 22, 2024 10:30 am Still winter driving conditions up on the Connector.

passenger-signs.png

From Facebook:

Image
Still winter conditions and it's June.

The truth is, the tire restrictions are quite arbitrary and actually nonsensical. Most people use all season tires in the summer which are technically still legal in the winter. They aren't the best for snow, but they'll do if you have to.

The April 30th date is something no one follows. Idiots change their tires later into May, which is a bad idea because you can have some serious heatwaves in May, which will wear out winter tires really fast.

Smart people change their tires long before the deadline when the temperatures start rising above 5 degrees.

If everyone followed the rule, there would be 3 million tire changes on April 30th, which would be impossible. Even if everyone approximately followed the rules, there'd be 3 million changes plus or minus a week, which would also be impossible. And if you're using studded tires, you will get fined if you're still using them in May.

So the province has this "rule," but they actually want most of us to break the rule and follow common sense instead based on the weather.
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Re: June 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

#patternlock

:ghug: :15arrow2right: :typing:
610temp.new.gif
610prcp.new.gif
814temp.new.gif
814prcp.new.gif
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: June 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Some pics from the Connector, yesterday evening and this morning.
1.jpg
2.jpg
3.jpg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: June 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

PortKells wrote: Tue Jun 18, 2024 8:12 am Makes me appreciate this weather even more!
This is so gross. 41c humidity
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Re: June 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

From Global:
Unusually cold June weekend in B.C. topples temperature records

Cold temperatures at the cusp of summer broke records across B.C. this weekend, some of which were more than a century old.

Environment Canada is reporting that the unseasonably cool airmass that drifted into the province Sunday resulted in a couple of daily minimum temperature records and several daily low maximum record temperatures.

In terms of daily minimum temperatures, the mercury fell to 3.9 C in Bella Bella during the coolest part of the day, breaking a 2014 record of 4 C.

Similarly, in Trail, the temperatures fell to 4 C, breaking a daily low-temperature record of 4.4 C in 1954.

The daily low temperatures were quite frigid in some areas, but the warmest part of the day wasn’t much better.

Close on its heels was Merritt, where the high temperature was a mere 11.5 C, breaking an old daytime low of 13 C set in 2014. In Princeton, a new low daytime high record of 12.1 C was set, breaking the old record of 12.2 C set in 1939.

The Okanagan saw a number of cold-day records broken as well.

In Summerland, a new cold daytime high record of 13.3 C was set, breaking an old record of 15.5 C set in 1987.

Penticton saw the daytime high temperature make its way to 14.9 C, breaking an old daytime cold record of 15.6 C set in 1939.

Kelowna saw the mercury rise in the peak of the day to a mere 13.3 C, breaking a record of 15 C set more than a century ago in 1906.

In Kamloops, the daytime high was a chilly 15.1 C, breaking an old record of 15.4 C set in 1991. Lytton saw temperatures reach 15.2 C, breaking an old record of 15.6 C set in 2014.

The Nakusp area tied its previous cold daytime high record when the mercury reached 14.5 C.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: June 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Glacier »

^ Low hanging fruit though... there has never been a really cold June 16th before, but there has been a really cold 17th, 18th, etc. before...
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Re: June 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Glacier »

LOL!!

https://www.castanet.net/news/Canada/49 ... ons#493000

so much in that article makes me laugh... this one takes the cake...
What's not in doubt, she said, is that heat events are among the greatest hazards to human health, responsible for "more illness and deaths than most other extreme weather hazards combined."
responsible for more illness and deaths than most other extreme weather hazards combined means what exactly? Cold causes more death than heat, so obviously they're leaving out the leading cause of death from the "most other extreme weather hazards"!
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Re: June 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Glacier wrote: Tue Jun 18, 2024 1:57 pm LOL!!

https://www.castanet.net/news/Canada/49 ... ons#493000

so much in that article makes me laugh... this one takes the cake...



responsible for more illness and deaths than most other extreme weather hazards combined means what exactly? Cold causes more death than heat, so obviously they're leaving out the leading cause of death from the "most other extreme weather hazards"!
India will not be a place humans can live in about 30 to 40 years. ( rough estimate )
Quick math shows that 1.4 billion people live in India. Do we even want to imagine the deaths??
That article may be wrong you quoted, but there's no doubt that heat will be the leading cause of deaths very soon, if it isn't already.
This also shows that heat stress is the leading cause of weather-related deaths..
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Re: June 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Here's a Fall 2024 weather outlook

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wRQ5C2n6cOI
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Re: June 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Glacier »

Weather101 wrote: Tue Jun 18, 2024 2:19 pm India will not be a place humans can live in about 30 to 40 years. ( rough estimate )
Quick math shows that 1.4 billion people live in India. Do we even want to imagine the deaths??
That article may be wrong you quoted, but there's no doubt that heat will be the leading cause of deaths very soon, if it isn't already.
This also shows that heat stress is the leading cause of weather-related deaths..
Even in India cold deaths outnumber heat deaths 7:1.

https://financialpost.com/opinion/bjorn ... t-and-cold

But you are entirely right that eventually heat deaths will overtake cold deaths.
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